(10-15-2025, 09:58 AM)msqueri Wrote: I am not right about everything but I have said for, oh, a couple decades that Belichick is the most overrated putz ever. What has he ever done without Brady? He is nothing compared to Saban and I can honestly say that I’ve said for many years that coaches who have succeeded in multiple contexts are better than him. I of course mean people like Saban, Meyer, and Harbaugh but honestly I think people like James Franklin and Matt Campbell are better coaches than Belichick. Flat out. So the example of Belichick finding yet another place he sucked at without Brady is not as cautionary as it would be if I thought he deserved a fraction of his reputation.
That being said, I did think this would turn out a lot better for him due to the recruiting boost/signaling mechanism aspects of the hire. I thought he might eventually sputter but that it would be a profound initial spark. This was worse than I could have imagined.
I do think there is something to be said for the new environment making coaching cachet less significant. I am surprised O’Brien hasn’t done better at Boston College. In this environment it may be more about cold hard finances, leadership, and coaching acumen (as opppsed to coaching cachet) than the sugar high of an initial hire.
I think many of the names you cited (Saban and Mayer especially, maybe Kelly) retired from head coaching because they were effective at the “recruit, develop, retain, win” paradigm, and saw that success in the NIL era was going to take a different skill set. Swinny has stayed and, IMHO to his credit “stubbornly” clung on to the old way of doing things, and, while his record has been quite enviable and I would love to have him here, there is a very clear drop-off after 2021 Alston decision opened the NIL floodgates. From 2015-2020, Clemson never finished with a worse ranking than #4, won 2 national titles, and played a total of four national title games and another two Sugar Bowls (playoff appearances), never having lost more than 2 losses in the season. Since 2021, Clemson has never finished better than 13th or had fewer than 3 losses. Of course, that is a level that we all would be ecstatic to “fall” to (a bowl game every year, ending the season ranked every year, an ACC title and two CFP playoff appearances), but it is a stark drop for a team that was elite in the pre-Alston era is merely very good now, presumably because it hasn’t adapted to the changed landscape.
BC