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https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/m...mm6942e2_w
The CDC estimated that there have been 299,000 deaths more than we might have expected this year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. About 2/3 are directly attributable to COVID-19 itself, while the rest areattributed to other causes. But, as the authors note:
Quote: estimates of excess deaths attributed to COVID-19 might underestimate the actual number directly attributable to COVID-19, because deaths from other causes might represent misclassified COVID-19–related deaths or deaths indirectly caused by the pandemic. Specifically, deaths from circulatory diseases, Alzheimer disease and dementia, and respiratory diseases have increased in 2020 relative to past years (7), and it is unclear to what extent these represent misclassified COVID-19 deaths or deaths indirectly related to the pandemic (e.g., because of disruptions in health care access or utilization).
One other interesting thing to note is the age-specific breakdown. While on an absolute basis, the number of excess deaths is largest in older age groups, on a relative basis, the percent increase in death is highest in the 25-44 year group, largely because this is a group that doesn’t have a high baseline mortality.
BC
Supposedly predicted 3/4 of all COVID deaths in Britain based upon the top 5% at risk. Tested on 2.2 million patients from January through April 30.
https://sports.yahoo.com/tool-predicts-r...14648.html
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m3731
The CDC has updated its guidelines on close contact to include numerous encounters that add up to more than 15 minutes.
This after a Vermont prison guard got infected without prolonged contact.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/21/health/cd...index.html
He was wearing a microfiber mask and goggles. Prisoners were not all wearing masks and were asymptomatic at the time.
Just reinforces how little we know for certain about this virus. =(
I know some people have been clamoring to have challenge trials to assess vaccine efficacy more quickly. Now the UK will.
https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/u-...enge-study
May not be done in time to assess the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines, but it can probably be used to better characterize how they work. But first, the details of how you work out the challenge study has to be worked out.
BC
You can watch it.
Thursday, October 22, 2020
To Attend: Registration is not required; however, high attendance is expected, so we recommend logging in early to ensure that you are able to view the webcast.
BC
JICYMI (the "in case you missed it" referred to the announcement. now that it's over, I'll post a link when it is available for replay, unless someone does so first--not that it was earth shattering or anything.)
https://livestream.com/accounts/1973198/events/9342835
New TreeCast is up! Tidbits & news from Stanford's training camp, some of David Shaw's latest thoughts, and an intriguing add to Stanford men's basketball's schedule. (though, if you listened to a certain TreeCast episode back in April, not a surprising addition at all...)
Special guest is ESPN's "Stanford" Steve Coughlin! The former Cardinal TE shares his notes on the college football season so far, gives his read on Stanford, tells about his last visit to The Farm for the 20th reunion of the 1999 Rose Bowl team, and takes us inside a wild year for him and "SportsCenter with Scott Van Pelt."
Check it out! Then subscribe, rate, and review. Thank you for listening!
Troy C
The TreeCast with Troy Clardy: Hanging With "Stanford" Steve (October 21, 2020)
The Washington Football team just announced the retirement of Joshua Garnett at 26. Casey Toohill took his spot on the 53-man roster after being picked up on waivers from the Eagles last week and clearing COVID-19 protocols.
These two guys must have overlapped at Stanford in 2015. I thought this was an interesting example of the "circle of life" in the NFL, or the harshness and brevity of a football career, depending on your perspective. Fortunately for Garnett, he was a first-round pick and is walking away having earned a cool ~$10M before taxes. He has a degree in human biology, too.
https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/20...etirement/
Last night was a zoom for season ticket holders with Hambly and recent grads Fitzmorris, the Keefes and Plummer.
Fitz at Stanford in rehab that kept her from playing in Italy. Also a bit closer to bring a Dr
The Keefe’s are living together in NYC one zooming on her masters at Stanford one working for Bof A
Plummer in Japan playing Volleyball thru February
No comment on injuries from Hambly. He’s home with family. Team practicing in San Diego
From a source Leilah rehabbing at Stanford
Great McClure interview. She was awesome. Lots of plans but maybe not a volleyball future. Loves being the only Sr and the leader of the team.
McClure talked a lot about how great being with the Stanford volleyball has been and is still.
You know it's tough when OJ (who once played against Stanford on the Farm) has the moral high ground. . . .
https://nypost.com/2020/10/19/o-j-simpso...n-scandal/