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RE: 2023 Niners thread - French Rage - 02-03-2024
(02-03-2024, 08:48 AM)lex24 Wrote: Tough task to beat Mahomes.
Purdy 6-pack > Mahomes dad bod
RE: 2023 Niners thread - lex24 - 02-03-2024
Pretty interesting to hear Lynch, Fred Warner, and Shanahan all decry a lack of effort from the defense on several plays against Detroit. Personally, while they did not name names, I think a lot of that is being thrown at Chase Young. Who I think had a reputation of taking plays off when he played for Washington. And who did so on at least a couple of plays in the Detroit game. He’s done very little since joining the 49ers. Time to step up. Losing Clelin Ferrell a high effort guy who also is very good against the run, has hurt more than I thought it would.
I like the matchup with Kansas City more than a matchup with the Ravens. With the exception of Mahomes. I think the 49ers can run the ball. I think they’ll have to run the ball. The Chiefs are both very good in the defensive backfield and they put a lot of pressure on the quarterback. Lots of blitz packages. Spagnoulo is a terrific defensive coordinator. He will throw a lot at Purdy.
But the Chiefs have not been particularly stout against the run.
On the other side of the ball, I don’t think the Chiefs present the run threat that either Green Bay or especially Detroit did. Detroit was a very good running football team. Great offensive line and two very good backs. Pacheco is good but I don’t think he’s at the same level of what the 49ers faced against Detroit. Reid will probably mix in some jet sweeps – he had very good success against the 49ers in the past doing that with Mecole Hardman. .
49ers cannot come out of the gate slow. If they fall well behind the Chiefs team, they will not catch up. The Chiefs will not make mistakes.
Top to bottom. I think th 49ers are the better team. Except there’s Mahomes. Not a knock on Purdy, he’s been terrific. But Mahomes is, as Jen York recently said, the best football player on the planet. Kelce he’s going to get his. You’re not gonna stop him. At least try to control him, especially on 3d down. And shut down their other receivers. Rice has been tough. The rest of them very pedestrian.
Speaking of third down – that’s where the Niner defense has been poor this year. Cannot be the case in the Super Bowl.
Take a lead to the fourth-quarter. And do not be in a position where Mahomes has the ball with a chance to win the game at the end.
Should be fun game.
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Mick - 02-03-2024
Good perspective, Lex. Near as I can tell, based upon regular season statistics, 49ers have the advantage on offense; 1st in passer rating, 3rd in total rushing yards, 4th in ypc, 2nd in offensive TDs. KC is 17th, 19th, 13th and 17th in those four stats, respectively.
ON Defense, KC has 4th best pass defense, 49ers down to #14. Niners are third on run defense, KC is 17th. Net turnover margin, 49ers are 8th in the league at +10 and KC is 28th at -11.
On special teams, KC has the better kicker; 100% on XPs, 94.3% on FGs, 87% touchbacks (third best). Moody's numbers are 94%, 84%, 58%. I had read that Shanahan preferred that the other team run the ball back on kickoffs, and that went fine until we gave up a 70 yard runback, so Moody has been striving for touchbacks. KC had the third worst return average (28 yards), 49ers were 18th worst (23.3 ypc)
On kick return, KC was 5th worst (20.1), 49ers were 12th worst (23.3).
On punting, the net was within a yard of each other, but 1/2 of Wishnowsky's punts died inside the 20, only 1/3rd of the KC punter's punts finished inside the 20. Punt returns were about the same (SF 8 ypc, KC 9.3 ypc).
Should be fun. I think the 49ers win a close game, assuming their run defense gets its act together.
https://www.nfl.com/stats/team-stats/offense/passing/2023/reg/all
RE: 2023 Niners thread - cardcrimson - 02-03-2024
(02-03-2024, 11:43 AM)Mick Wrote: Niners are third on run defense.Stats lie.
They have been mediocre at best, especially of late.
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Giants - 02-03-2024
(02-03-2024, 02:02 PM)cardcrimson Wrote:(02-03-2024, 11:43 AM)Mick Wrote: Niners are third on run defense.Stats lie.
They have been mediocre at best, especially of late.
Mediocre? You are being too kind. The run D has been terrible the last couple of games.
I think KC will win - Mahomes is by far the best QB in the league and Kelce was unstoppable v. Baltimore (11 for 11). On the other side of the ball, Jones is a major concern for the 49ers OL and McDuffie will create problems for the 49er receivers. Chiefs by 10. Hope I am wrong……..
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Mick - 02-03-2024
(02-03-2024, 02:21 PM)Giants Wrote:(02-03-2024, 02:02 PM)cardcrimson Wrote:(02-03-2024, 11:43 AM)Mick Wrote: Niners are third on run defense.Stats lie.
They have been mediocre at best, especially of late.
Mediocre? You are being too kind. The run D has been terrible the last couple of games.
I think KC will win - Mahomes is by far the best QB in the league and Kelce was unstoppable v. Baltimore (11 for 11). On the other side of the ball, Jones is a major concern for the 49ers OL and McDuffie will create problems for the 49er receivers. Chiefs by 10. Hope I am wrong……..
Kinda feel the same. Hope I'm wrong. I think the 49ers have more really strong starters, but their feet of clay are considerably worse than KC's. The 49er floor is lower, so to speak. Case in point, Chase Young. Lots of ability, second overall pick in the 2020 draft, should be at his peak. He had five sacks in seven games for the Commanders, including 18 tackles, six tackles for loss and 11 QB hits. In the 11 games for the 49ers since he was acquired, he's had 2.5 sacks (and only one in the past eight games), 16 tackles, two tackles for loss and three QB hits. His contract is up after the Super Bowl, and I saw an article that claimed that management had a little sit-down with him to effectively say your entire next contract revolves around what you do in the playoffs. To be fair, his performance against Green Bay and Detroit has been better than his first nine games for the 49ers. Kinlaw, Ambry Thomas...and on offense, OLs not named Trent Williams have not been terrific.
As for the Chiefs...Nick Bosa's comment on their OL reminds me of the great scene in The Sting, when Henry Gondorff (Paul Newman) is getting the low-down on the mark, Doyle Lonnegan, and JJ Singleton explains "He cheats. He's pretty good at it, too." That was the tone and content of Bosa's comments on how well and how often KC's OL holds. If you went back and looked at Super Bowl LV, you'd be pretty impressed...they got away with quite a lot. And the referees swallow their whistles during the Super Bowl. Perhaps that will help PI-prone Thomas.
Kansas City's defense plays a lot of man coverage. Hopefully, Aiyuk will have a big game. Their DT, Chris Jones, sacked Garoppolo twice, had a QB hit and a TFL in the 49ers' last super bowl. Aaron Banks and Jake Brendel are still the starters. Feliciano will replace Spencer Burford. Feliciano has done a great job (ranked 5th among guards by PFF), but Banks (ranked 53rd) and Brendel (18th among centers) have been weaknesses.
Really hope the 49ers find that extra gear for this game.
RE: 2023 Niners thread - JJJ - 02-04-2024
A bit off topic but Lisa McCaffrey got a nice birthday gift from Christian’s fiancée.
https://www.businessinsider.com/olivia-culpo-christian-mccaffrey-mom-how-much-super-bowl-suite-2024-2
RE: 2023 Niners thread - cardcrimson - 02-04-2024
(02-04-2024, 12:18 PM)JJJ Wrote: A bit off topic but Lisa McCaffrey got a nice birthday gift from Christian’s fiancée.And the battle begins, Swift vs Culpo. Should be a fun match up. . . .
https://www.businessinsider.com/olivia-culpo-christian-mccaffrey-mom-how-much-super-bowl-suite-2024-2
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Mick - 02-08-2024
Stanford alum Christian McCaffrey won the NFL's Offensive Player of the Year Award.
https://www.nbcsportsbayarea.com/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/christian-mccaffrey-offensive-player-year/1700843/
McCaffrey finished third in NFL MVP voting, Purdy finished 4th.
49ers' McCaffrey, Purdy finish third, fourth in NFL MVP voting
And Patrick Willis was elected to the NFL Hall of Fame.
https://www.nbcsportsbayarea.com/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/christian-mccaffrey-offensive-player-year/1700843/
RE: 2023 Niners thread - lex24 - 02-08-2024
(02-08-2024, 09:24 PM)Mick Wrote: Stanford alum Christian McCaffrey won the NFL's Offensive Player of the Year Award.
https://www.nbcsportsbayarea.com/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/christian-mccaffrey-offensive-player-year/1700843/
McCaffrey finished third in NFL MVP voting, Purdy finished 4th.
49ers' McCaffrey, Purdy finish third, fourth in NFL MVP voting
And Patrick Willis was elected to the NFL Hall of Fame.
https://www.nbcsportsbayarea.com/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/christian-mccaffrey-offensive-player-year/1700843/
no surprises. Except it’s amazing to me that Dak Prescott was second for MVP.
Happy for McCaffrey and also Patrick Willis. Who was a great football player and everything I’ve read a really good dude
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Giants - 02-08-2024
(02-08-2024, 10:00 PM)lex24 Wrote:(02-08-2024, 09:24 PM)Mick Wrote: Stanford alum Christian McCaffrey won the NFL's Offensive Player of the Year Award.
https://www.nbcsportsbayarea.com/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/christian-mccaffrey-offensive-player-year/1700843/
McCaffrey finished third in NFL MVP voting, Purdy finished 4th.
49ers' McCaffrey, Purdy finish third, fourth in NFL MVP voting
And Patrick Willis was elected to the NFL Hall of Fame.
https://www.nbcsportsbayarea.com/nfl/san-francisco-49ers/christian-mccaffrey-offensive-player-year/1700843/
no surprises. Except it’s amazing to me that Dak Prescott was second for MVP.
Happy for McCaffrey and also Patrick Willis. Who was a great football player and everything I’ve read a really good dude
I suspect that had one or the other been a clear choice, that player would have been #2 in the voting.
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Leftcoast - 02-08-2024
Lamar Jackson is a great football player but I strongly dislike that the MVP award has become a QB only club.
RE: 2023 Niners thread - JJJ - 02-11-2024
Cute interview with proud dads.
https://youtu.be/StIt526uFLo?si=0SMI1R7iF7GEnqN1
RE: 2023 Niners thread - lex24 - 02-11-2024
We’ve heard what a talented group of d-lineman the Niners have. Well, today is the day. Chiefs tackles are pedestrian at best. Their pro bowl guard is out. Niners must stop the run and pressure Mahomes with their 4 down. He kills blitzes.
So, key 1- stop the run. Contain the edges, they’ve got destroyed on outside runs in the playoffs.
Key 2 - pressure with 4 - someone besides Bosa nees to step up.
Key 3 - get off the field. They have been lousy on third down all year.
Offensively, flip it. They have to be able to run. Chiefs have been average against the run. Both Buffalo and Ravens went away from it too soon. And neither is as good a pure running team as Niners - as a lot of their rushing yards come from the QB. And Deebo. I think he will be key. Downfield passing may be difficult. Chiefs pressure well and their DB’s are terrific. So…
1. Run. They need at least 120 yards. Even more important- number of carries.
2. Deebo and CMac on screens, slants, drags and option routes. YAC is going to be important.
3. Convert. Ball control important in this one.
If they win at LOS (especially defense) and stay even in turnovers, they should win.
One last point. Special teams. Means nothing, but historically KO’s have not been good to SF in SB. Very first SB play was Amos Lawrence fumbling KO. They have given up 3 KOR TDs. Which brings me to this year. The kick coverage has not been good. Hopefully Moody gives them no chances. Speaking of Moody - I hope he’s corrected that fade……
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Mick - 02-22-2024
(12-17-2023, 10:27 AM)Mick Wrote:(12-06-2023, 06:57 PM)Nan3cy Wrote: I would think a lifetime ban is a bit much, but would be okay with double secret probation.
The other shoe dropped. Not a lifetime ban, but DiSandro has been banned from the Eagles' sideline for the rest of the season.
https://www.whio.com/sports/nfl-bans-eagles/S5WOVZMFDLSBKNV4TT3SOSUC3Y/
Yet a third shoe dropped, based upon Dom DiSandro's 2023 sideline banishment. Apparently Eagles HC Nick Sirianni couldn't take it, needed DiSandro around to sand off Sirianni's rough edges. The Eagles were 10-2 leading into DiSandro's discipline, and went 1-4 with an early playoff exit afterward. Apparently, DiSandro would calm Sirianni, and without DiSandro, Sirianni would tee off on coaches and players, leading to the downward spiral. This according to Derrick Gunn, longtime reporting covering the Eagles. Sirianni agreed.
"DiSandro, nicknamed "Big Dom," controlled Sirianni's emotions on the sideline, and without him, the head coach got into "numerous arguments with players/coaches during games," longtime Philadelphia radio host Derrick Gunn reported Wednesday, citing sources."
Nick Sirianni couldn't handle the loss of a member of his team and that led to the Eagles debacle
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Mick - 03-01-2024
Cowboys are exercising Trey Lance's $4.25 million roster bonus.
Cowboys to exercise $4.25M roster bonus for Trey Lance, securing former 49ers QB for 2024 season
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Mick - 03-01-2024
Steve Merritt, candidate for 49er defensive coordinator publicly stated it was wrong to fire Steve Wilks because the problem was with the offense, not the defense. He makes some pretty good points BTW, like the 49ers' 3 for 12 third down "success."
49ers get ripped for Super Bowl performance by candidate for team's vacant defensive coordinator job
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Giants - 03-01-2024
Mick dateline='[url=tel:1709333596' Wrote: 1709333596[/url]']
Steve Merritt, candidate for 49er defensive coordinator publicly stated it was wrong to fire Steve Wilks because the problem was with the offense, not the defense. He makes some pretty good points BTW, like the 49ers' 3 for 12 third down "success."
49ers get ripped for Super Bowl performance by candidate for team's vacant defensive coordinator job
The Super Bowl result had nothing to do with the firing of Wilks. The die was cast long before then. What Shanahan wanted from his D (front to back) and what Wilks provided (back to front) was the determining factor. My guess is that Shanahan thought he would get the Salah/Ryans D and he was wrong so he decided to let Wilks go and find a guy who would coach the D in the manner he desired.
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Mick - 03-02-2024
(03-01-2024, 05:59 PM)Giants Wrote:Mick dateline='[url=tel:1709333596' Wrote: 1709333596[/url]']
Steve Merritt, candidate for 49er defensive coordinator publicly stated it was wrong to fire Steve Wilks because the problem was with the offense, not the defense. He makes some pretty good points BTW, like the 49ers' 3 for 12 third down "success."
49ers get ripped for Super Bowl performance by candidate for team's vacant defensive coordinator job
The Super Bowl result had nothing to do with the firing of Wilks. The die was cast long before then. What Shanahan wanted from his D (front to back) and what Wilks provided (back to front) was the determining factor. My guess is that Shanahan thought he would get the Salah/Ryans D and he was wrong so he decided to let Wilks go and find a guy who would coach the D in the manner he desired.
Speaking of which, the Niners have hired inhouse for defensive coordinator. They promoted Nick Sorenson, defensive passing game coordinator.
They are also hiring Brandon Staley to replace Assistant Head Coach Anthony Lynn, departing for Washington.
https://twitter.com/AdamSchefter/status/1763901284753572028
RE: 2023 Niners thread - Giants - 03-02-2024
Mick dateline='[url=tel:1709397191' Wrote: 1709397191[/url]']
Giants dateline='[url=tel:1709341193' Wrote: 1709341193[/url]']
Mick dateline='[url=tel:1709333596' Wrote: 1709333596[/url]']
Steve Merritt, candidate for 49er defensive coordinator publicly stated it was wrong to fire Steve Wilks because the problem was with the offense, not the defense. He makes some pretty good points BTW, like the 49ers' 3 for 12 third down "success."
49ers get ripped for Super Bowl performance by candidate for team's vacant defensive coordinator job
The Super Bowl result had nothing to do with the firing of Wilks. The die was cast long before then. What Shanahan wanted from his D (front to back) and what Wilks provided (back to front) was the determining factor. My guess is that Shanahan thought he would get the Salah/Ryans D and he was wrong so he decided to let Wilks go and find a guy who would coach the D in the manner he desired.
Speaking of which, the Niners have hired inhouse for defensive coordinator. They promoted Nick Sorenson, defensive passing game coordinator.
They are also hiring Brandon Staley to replace Assistant Head Coach Anthony Lynn, departing for Washington.
https://twitter.com/AdamSchefter/status/1763901284753572028
Sorensen was a good choice. He learned the Seattle defensive system employed by SF during his eight year tenure with the Seahawks. He clearly understands what Shanahan wants to see on the field.