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Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-11-2019

Just three matches left on the regular season schedule, and all three are on the road. #3 Stanford (16-1, 7-0 Pac-12) travels to Salt Lake City for a match against #46 Utah on Friday at 12:30pm before heading to Boulder to face Colorado on Sunday at 9:00am.

Seasons so far

Stanford looks to be in great shape for the regular-season conference title, the #1 seed in the conference tournament, and a likely top 8 seed in the NCAAs, with the resulting ability to host both a regional and the new super regionals. 

Utah (11-8, 2-5) has shown some solid improvement this year, currently ranked #46 and projected to just barely miss out on the NCAA tournament (slam.tennis has them as the very first team out right now). Utah's best wins are over #42 Wazzu and #46 Wisconsin, though the most impressive match might be the Utes' 4-3 loss to a very good Washington team. Based on what's left (losses to Stanford and Cal, a win over Colorado, and then probably a 1-1 record in the Pac-12 tournament, with a win over Arizona and a loss to USC (if my seeding guesses are right)), I think Utah will just barely sneak in, but it'll be close. Just making the NCAA tournament would be a of immense proportions step for this program, though. Utah has no ranked singles players or doubles teams, but its best player is senior Brianna Chisholm at #1, who beat UW's Stacey Fung 7-5, 7-6 when those two teams matched up. She suffered some close losses to now-#8 Anna Rogers of NC State (10-6 in a third-set match tiebreaker), and pushed WSU's Bayerlova to a third set as well. 

Colorado (10-10, 3-4) has also weathered the storm of losing their head coach and best player (Linda Huang transferred to Rice) after last season to assemble a respectable spring campaign. Senior Annabelle Andrinopolous has seemed to elevate her play, and two newcomers--freshman Sara Nayar and transfer Monica Malinen--have proven to be tough outs in the top half of the Buffs' lineup. No longer a doormat, CU has registered conference wins not just over Oregon, but also over #50 Arizona and #42 Washington State, suggesting there is danger here. But a NCAA berth isn't in the cards this year absent some big upsets in the Pac-12 tournament. No ranked singles players, but Andrinopolous/Malinen are the #50 doubles team, so they could complicate the doubles point. 

Analysis

Stanford should win both matches by 4-0 scores, but what I'll be watching for is how well Gordon does against Utah's Chisholm, how well our back courts do against lesser opponents (I'm particularly interested in whether Shin continues to struggle a little bit or takes care of business quickly), and what Cal's results against the same two teams says about our regular season finale in Berkeley next weekend. 

Two wins will clinch the #1 seed in the Pac-12 tournament, as we'll own tiebreakers over every other team except for Cal (who we haven't yet played), and Cal already has more than 1 conference loss. 

How to watch

Utah has live streaming of its courts, and each court feed should have that match's stats as well: https://utahutes.com/sports/2018/2/16/tennis-video-streaming.aspx

The Colorado match doesn't appear to have live video, but there should be live stats at this link: https://cubuffs.com/sports/2017/1/19/colorado-tennis-live-updates.aspx. I'd like to give you live match updates from Boulder, but 10am local time on a Sunday morning is prime hiking time if the weather is good, so I'm highly likely to get overruled by Mrs. Tree as to what our Sunday morning will entail.

I posted this week's schedule on the last thread, but it probably makes more sense here: 

Pac-12 schedule this week:

* UCLA and USC travel to Seattle and Pullman
* Stanford and Cal travel to Salt Lake City and Boulder
* ASU and Arizona host Oregon

National schedule this week:

Tuesday, April 9:

#8 Pepperdine d. #13 USC 4-1

Wednesday, April 10:

#4 Duke d. #9 N.C. State 5-2 (Duke clinched at 4-0 behind doubles and wins at 1, 4, and 5; the other three matches were in third sets and Duke went 1 for 3 in those)

Friday, April 12:

#5 Stanford at #46 Utah
#7 Vanderbilt at #18 Tennessee
#1 UNC at #33 Georgia Tech
#4 Duke vs. #31 Syracuse
#2 Georgia vs. #24 Kentucky
#10 UCLA at #42 Washington State
#13 USC at #15 Washington

Saturday, April 13:

#3 South Carolina at #23 Florida

Sunday, April 14:

#6 Vanderbilt at #1 Georgia
#4 Duke vs. #41 Boston College
#10 UCLA at #15 Washington
#13 USC at #42 Washington State
#19 Cal at #46 Utah

FYI, if results go as I suspect, Georgia would return to #1 in next week's rankings, Stanford would slip back to #4 behind Duke (Duke has a tougher weekend than we do) and would only be a sliver ahead of South Carolina at #5, Pepperdine would be #6, Texas would be #7, and Vanderbilt would be #8. I think UCLA and USC are better than UW, but the match is in Seattle, so if UW wins both of those matches, it would climb to #9, dropping UCLA to #12 and USC to #16 (Cal would be #15). If UCLA and USC both win, UCLA would be #9, USC would be #12, and UW would be #16 (with Cal at #15). If UCLA wins but USC loses, it would be #9 UCLA, #14 UW, #15 Cal, and #16 USC; if UCLA loses but USC wins, it would be #11 UCLA, #12 USC, #15 UW, and #16 Cal. (All of that assumes other results nationwide break as rankings would dictate, with these matches as the only variables.)

It seems highly likely that Georgia, UNC, Duke, Stanford, and South Carolina will get top 8 seeds. Currently, Pepperdine, Texas, and Vanderbilt occupy the other three slots. Of course, we don't want Texas and Vanderbilt to do poorly in their respective conference tournaments because it would impact our ranking, but probably only at the margins, though getting the #3 national seed (and thus avoiding an early matchup with either UNC or Georgia) will require all the help we can get, so I'll be rooting for Vandy and Texas to win their conference tournaments. Pepperdine, however, has basically maxed out its ranking right now, as it won't face another really tough team until NCAAs, so as it closes out its WCC slate and tournament, it won't gain many points, while one of UCLA, USC, or UW could get up there and grab the #8 seed and potentially host a super regional. It's possible, but I think it requires one of those three teams to win out over the other 2 and make the Pac-12 final, while we root against NC State, Florida State, Michigan, and Oklahoma State as the primary competition for that spot. (Vanderbilt is also vulnerable, so if they're, say, the 3 seed in the SEC tournament, beat the 6, but lose to #2 South Carolina, they might drop out of the top 8 as well. But I want our win over them to be as valuable as possible.)


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-11-2019

FYI, former Stanford #1 Kristie Ahn (currently ranked #205 on the WTA tour) knocked off top-seeded (and 29th-ranked) Jelena Ostapenko in the first round of the WTA's tournament in Bogota, Colombia. Recall that Ostapenko has a Grand Slam title to her credit--the 2017 French Open--and this match was on clay as well, making Ahn's win all the more impressive. Ahn was lucky to play the match, as she'd lost in the final round of qualifying but made the main draw as a lucky loser after a couple of withdrawals.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - Lorcan - 04-12-2019

(04-11-2019, 11:55 AM)ColoradoTree Wrote:  FYI, former Stanford #1 Kristie Ahn (currently ranked #205 on the WTA tour) knocked off top-seeded (and 29th-ranked) Jelena Ostapenko in the first round of the WTA's tournament in Bogota, Colombia. Recall that Ostapenko has a Grand Slam title to her credit--the 2017 French Open--and this match was on clay as well, making Ahn's win all the more impressive. Ahn was lucky to play the match, as she'd lost in the final round of qualifying but made the main draw as a lucky loser after a couple of withdrawals.

An impressive win to be sure. Slightly disappointing that she followed it up by being ousted by a 17 y.o. local wild card Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, currently ranked #438 in the world in three sets.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

(04-12-2019, 06:13 AM)Lorcan Wrote:  
(04-11-2019, 11:55 AM)ColoradoTree Wrote:  FYI, former Stanford #1 Kristie Ahn (currently ranked #205 on the WTA tour) knocked off top-seeded (and 29th-ranked) Jelena Ostapenko in the first round of the WTA's tournament in Bogota, Colombia. Recall that Ostapenko has a Grand Slam title to her credit--the 2017 French Open--and this match was on clay as well, making Ahn's win all the more impressive. Ahn was lucky to play the match, as she'd lost in the final round of qualifying but made the main draw as a lucky loser after a couple of withdrawals.

An impressive win to be sure. Slightly disappointing that she followed it up by being ousted by a 17 y.o. local wild card Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, currently ranked #438 in the world in three sets.

Stupid tennis.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - oldalum - 04-12-2019

live video will supposedly be available for today's match.

Speaking of alums on WTA, disappointing that Nicole Gibbs hasn't been able to maintain a singles ranking under 100 (I think she's had some injuries)--currently 113. But she's been having a viable career, with earnings over $1.7 million to date.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

FYI, you can see #1 doubles on the Court 2 live stream and #2 doubles on Court 4. According to the official Utah twitter feed, #3 doubles is a forfeit, though it doesn't make clear in which direction. Utah has 9 players on the roster, and we usually travel with 8 or so, and I haven't seen word of an injury on either our side or theirs. We'll find out soon enough, however, as Lampl/Yee lead 5-1 over Dush/Lamoreaux (a pair who has only played together once before, and that was at #3 doubles, so this is odd). Further, Arbuthnott/Gordon aren't playing today (don't know why), so it's Lord/Madurawe who are playing on Court 2. They're currently trailing 5-1 to Hung/Tattini, who haven't played together before (Tattini usually pairs with Utah's #1 singles player, Chisholm, at #1 doubles; Hung usually plays #3 doubles with Dush.)

Lampl/Yee win 6-1 and there's the doubles point for Stanford. I'm interested to see the singles lineups, as Utah rolled out a pretty standard singles lineup for them yesterday in a 4-3 win over Loyola Marymount. 

Utah just announced on its Twitter feed that the match score is 3-0 because of singles forfeits on Courts 5 and 6. What happened to Utah's lineup???  I'm assuming some players had some tweaks in yesterday's match that the coach doesn't want getting worse, but there are 9 players on the roster! Better to throw a walk-on to the wolves than to forfeit a match, no?  Unless some sort of nasty bug affected a number of players, that is.

In any event, the first Stanford player to record a singles win gets the clinch. Weird day, but it all counts the same. Gordon is playing Tattini (who normally plays #2 for Utah) on the Court 2 feed, and Shin is playing Hung (who normally plays #4) on the Court 4 feed. I presume there are other matches going on, but the live streams for those courts show as inactive (at least to me, that is).

Here are the singles lineups today, per Utah:

1. Gordon vs. Madison Tattini (Utah's usual #2) - match on the Court 2 live feed
2. Arbuthnott vs. Emily Dush (the usual #3) - Court 1 live feed
3. Shin vs. Lindsay Hung (the usual #4) - Court 4 live feed
4. Higuchi vs. Lamoreaux (usually out of the singles lineup, occasionally #6) - Court 3 live feed
5. Forfeit to Stanford
6. Forfeit to Stanford

Lord and Lampl played doubles, so they get the day off to let everyone else get a shot to play. Stanford up 3-0 as singles gets started, with Utah playing without the services of its usual #1, #5, and #6 singles players.

Stanford 3, Utah 0

1. Gordon leads 3-0
2. Arbuthnott leads 2-1 (up a break)
3. Shin leads 2-0
4. Higuchi leads 2-1 (up a break)

A little preview of next year's top 4 in the lineup, really....


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - oldalum - 04-12-2019

(04-12-2019, 12:57 PM)ColoradoTree Wrote:  A little preview of next year's top 4 in the lineup, really....
that's more than a little scary . . . losing Lord and Lampl will be h-uge


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - Treefence - 04-12-2019

(04-12-2019, 01:26 PM)oldalum Wrote:  
(04-12-2019, 12:57 PM)ColoradoTree Wrote:  A little preview of next year's top 4 in the lineup, really....
that's more than a little scary . . . losing Lord and Lampl will be h-uge

Another way to look at it is that we are incredibly lucky that we returned our entire championship top 6 from last year.  You should expect to lose one or two players every year due to graduation, and we currently have 8 starting caliber level players.  We also show no signs of slowing down in recruiting, as we are bringing two top 10 ranked recruits next year as well.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

Stanford 3, Utah 0

1. Gordon leads 6-2, 2-1
2. Arbuthnott leads 6-2, 3-2
3. Shin leads 6-1, 2-1
4. Higuchi leads 6-1, 4-1

I'd like for them to play it out, but with Utah down so many players and with both teams playing another match on Sunday, I doubt they will.

(04-12-2019, 01:42 PM)Treefence Wrote:  
(04-12-2019, 01:26 PM)oldalum Wrote:  
(04-12-2019, 12:57 PM)ColoradoTree Wrote:  A little preview of next year's top 4 in the lineup, really....
that's more than a little scary . . . losing Lord and Lampl will be h-uge

Another way to look at it is that we are incredibly lucky that we returned our entire championship top 6 from last year.  You should expect to lose one or two players every year due to graduation, and we currently have 8 starting caliber level players.  We also show no signs of slowing down in recruiting, as we are bringing two top 10 ranked recruits next year as well.

Arguably 9 (most teams would be thrilled to have a player like Yee at #6), but this is absolutely right. 

After the NCAA runner-up finish in 2017, we lost Davidson and Doyle, who had been mainstays in the top half of the lineup for three years. That meant we plugged a freshman in at #1, Lord held down #2 after coming back from injury, and we were fine. It's so rare to return a singles lineup like we did this year, but if we assume we add Choy and Madurawe to #5 and #6 regularly in whatever order, it's still one heck of an experienced lineup we're looking at:

1. Junior
2. Senior
3. Junior
4. Senior
5. Sophomore
6. Sophomore

After all, we're used to relying on freshmen, particularly at #5 and #6. Last year we had freshmen play at #1 (Gordon) and #5 (Shin) regularly. The year before, we had freshmen at #5 (Arbuthnott) and #6 (Higuchi). The year before, we had freshmen at #5 (Lampl) and #6 (Lord). It feels weird this year that we don't have freshmen playing singles. Arbuthnott has been ranked inside the top 30 all year, and she's our #4. It'll be an adjustment for her to consistently play at #2, but she's got the chops for it.

Stanford gets to 4 points with Arbuthnott winning 6-2, 6-2 on Court 2. Surprisingly, it does look as if they'll play it out. 

**

Stanford 4, Utah 0

1. Gordon leads 6-2, 5-1
3. Shin leads 6-1, 3-4
4. Higuchi leads 6-1, 5-2

Good to see Arbuthnott (and Gordon and Higuchi, so far) take care of business. Shin was just too good in the first set, but she's struggling now, so I'm glad we get to see how she'll respond to it.

Stanford 6, Utah 0

1. Gordon won 6-2, 6-1
2. Arbuthnott won 6-2, 6-2
3. Shin leads 6-1, 3-4
4. Higuchi won 6-1, 6-2

Gordon won second, followed after a minute or two by Higuchi. Shin is serving 3-4, 40-40 (she was up 40-15 but has sent a couple of balls wide).

Shin holds off a Utah error and gives a nice fist-pump. 4-4 in her second set. Just eight more points, Janice....

That was not Shin's best return game (Utah's Hung was dictating the rallies, and Shin benefited from poor Utah serving and some errors), but a break is a break. Shin will serve for her match (and the sweep) after the changeover.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

Shin wins 6-1, 6-4 and it's a 7-0 road sweep for Stanford over #46 Utah! (It sure sounds better to say it that way than to see Stanford beat a shorthanded team who forfeited #5 doubles, #5 singles, and #6 singles and played without its one legit good player, doesn't it?)

FYI, the shuffled lineup today doesn't violate any rules because it's basically a one-match vacation for a couple of players, not a reordering. You just have to reinsert the players who were off today at their normal spots next match. Assuming CU is at full strength, I'd expect to see our standard lineup in Boulder.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

Elsewhere: 

* USC won the doubles point over Washington; singles has been competitive, with UW winning 4 first sets and USC winning 2, though the second sets are all close except for Court 3, where USC's Neffa ran away with her match to make it a 2-0 USC lead (FYI, Neffa has moved ahead of Valdes in the singles lineup--recall that Neffa controlled her match against Shin at #4 when we played them), so this one is very much still in the balance; 
* UCLA won the doubles point over Wazzu; Washington State is up a set and a double break on #4 and is up a double break on #2, while UCLA won first sets on #1 and #3 (they just have the four indoor courts, so #5 and #6 will go on as courts become available);
* Cal narrowly won doubles over Colorado (needed a tiebreaker on the deciding court), and they're playing on just 3 singles courts, it appears; Hauger won handily on Court 2, but Colorado won a tight three-setter on Court 3, and Court 1 is headed for a third set after they split 7-5 sets; Courts 4 and 5 are just getting started; Colorado is still very much in this match;
* Vanderbilt leads Tennessee 3-2 (FYI, Drummy, who played #3 and lost a third-set tiebreaker to Lampl when we played Vanderbilt, has now supplanted Contreras at the top spot in their singles lineup); Vandy won on the top 3 singles courts while Tennessee won doubles and #4; Courts 5 and 6 look headed for third sets;
* UNC beat Georgia Tech 4-1, though a lot of those matches were close (they won one third-setter and the other two remaining were in third sets)
* Georgia won doubles over Kentucky and looks like they'll be just fine in singles


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - oldalum - 04-12-2019

Vanderbilt won, which is good for us. But they face Georgia next.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

UW beat USC 4-2 (with Ewing leading Fung on #1 when it was abandoned), which is a massive result for UW. The UW-UCLA match on Sunday should be just terrific.

Meanwhile, Bayerlova just beat Hart to put Wazzu up 2-1 over UCLA, though UCLA leads in the third on Courts 2 and 3. Wazzu is up early on 5, and 6 will get started now. The lesson: playing in Pullman—in any sport—is fraught with danger and you just do your damnedest to survive. 

Cal leads Colorado 3-2, and Cal should close that out. Still, closer than I would’ve thought.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

Wazzu leads UCLA 3-2; Court 5 is headed to a third set and Court 6 is on serve early.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-12-2019

Wow. UCLA falls 4-2 in Pullman. That’s an understandable loss, but that doesn’t mean it’s not a bad one. On the flip side, that just about guarantees Wazzu's spot in the NCAA tournament, so there's that.

Currently, the slam.tennis bracketology has ASU among the last 4 in, Utah in the first 4 out, and Arizona in the next 4 out. (WSU is no longer listed, thanks to its upset win over UCLA.)


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-14-2019

We win 4-0 in a quick one—doubles, Higuchi, Gordon, and the clincher from Lord.

I remain concerned about Shin, as she won her first set 7-5 over a player she should wipe the floor with. But she did well against Utah, and a road sweep is always a good result overall, particularly since Colorado grabbed a couple of points against Cal (at #1 and #3 singles, no less).

Cal beat a fuller-strength Utah, UCLA beat UW 4-1 (though UW looked primed to take the other two matches), and USC beat Wazzu 4-1.

Takeaways from the weekend:

1. We are the class of the conference and its regular-season champion. (We’re 9-0, and everyone else has at least two losses.)
2. All three doubles teams have now clinched the doubles point five times.
3. Despite how easy of a time Gordon had against Nayar and Lord had against Malinen, there's some promise there (heck, Lampl/Yee dropped their doubles match to Andrinopolous/Malinen--that is a legit good doubles team who would be ranked much higher if they'd had the opportunity to complete more matches, which is tough when the #2 and #3 pairs lose quickly).
4. We're the #1 seed in the Pac-12 tournament, but UCLA/USC/UW could still finish 2-4 in any order depending on how this upcoming weekend goes.
5. Gordon and Lord look like they're playing some of their best tennis of the year the last couple of weeks, with Gordon beating Bayerlova (and leading Fung when the match was clinched) and CU's Nayar, who upset Cal's Rosenqvist, and Lord controlling every match she's played since settling back in at #2 (including straightforward wins over three very good players in that span, UCLA's Bolton, USC's Kulikov, and UW's Wong).


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-15-2019

Pac-12 Standings:

1. Stanford (18-1, 9-0)
T2. UCLA (15-6, 7-2) 
T2. Washington (17-3, 7-2)
T2. USC (17-5, 7-2)
5. Cal (12-6, 6-3)
6. ASU (11-9, 4-5)
7. Colorado (10-12, 3-6) 
8. Washington State (18-8, 3-6)
9. Arizona (11-10, 2-7)
10. Utah (12-10, 2-7)
11. Oregon (6-13, 0-8)

Notes: Arizona would be seeded ahead of Utah based on head-to-head win; same thing as between CU and WSU; that three-way tie between 7-2 teams will get broken this week, as USC hosts UCLA and UW travels to Pullman. If USC wins and UW beats WSU, then it would be (2) UW, (3) USC, (4) UCLA; if UCLA wins and UW wins, it would be (2) UCLA, (3) UW, (4) USC; if USC wins and UW loses, it would be (2) USC, (3) UCLA, (4) UW; if UCLA wins and UW loses, it would be (2) UCLA, (3) UW, (4) USC. My bet is that USC wins at home, and UW wins a close one. If other matches go as expected, the final standings would be:

1. Stanford (10-0)
2. UW (8-2) (beat USC)
3. USC (8-2)
4. UCLA (7-3)
5. Cal (6-4)
6. ASU (5-5)
7. Utah (3-7) (beat WSU; I think they'll beat CU)
8. Colorado (3-7) (beat WSU)
9. WSU (3-7) 
10. Arizona (2-8)
11. Oregon (0-10)

That would mean the following Pac-12 championship bracket rounds next week, if things go as expected:

First round:

(6) ASU vs. (11) Oregon
(7) Utah vs. (10) Arizona
(8) Colorado vs. (9) WSU

Second round:

(1) Stanford vs. (9) WSU
(4) UCLA vs. (5) Cal
(3) USC vs. (6) ASU
(2) UW vs. (7) Utah

Semifinals:

(1) Stanford vs. (4) UCLA
(2) UW vs. (3) USC

FYI, Stanford should drop back to #4 in tomorrow's rankings (Duke had a more impressive weekend), while Georgia and UNC switch places again at the top, UCLA stays at #10 (though its lead over #11 Florida State is as narrow as it gets), UW climbs 2 spots to #13, Cal climbs 3 to #14, and USC drops two to #15.

So, the conference is still in line for five regional hosts. Just to compare, the ACC would have four, the SEC would have three, the Big 12 two, and the Big Ten and the WCC each with one. That said, all three of the SEC's regional hosts would also be in line to host a super regional, compared to two for the ACC, and one each for the Pac-12, Big 12, and WCC. 

Projected rankings of teams on our schedule:

1. Georgia (L; they are still undefeated, which is wild at this point in the season)
4. Stanford
7. Texas (W)
8. Vanderbilt (W)
10. UCLA (W)
13. UW (W)
14. Cal
15. USC (W)
26. LSU (W)
34. Princeton (W)
35. Wazzu (W, W)
40. ASU (W)
47. Utah (W)

If we beat Cal on the road this weekend (our only match of the weekend), our top 9 wins before Pac-12s would be #7, #8, #10 (away), #13, #14 (away), #15 (away), #26, #34, and #35. Given the likely seedings, we'll have the opportunity for another match against #10 UCLA and the UW/USC winner, which would wipe away those wins in the 30s if we win both.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-15-2019

It's still the regular season in the Pac-12 (we play at Cal, UCLA plays at USC, UW plays at WSU, CU plays at Utah, Arizona plays at ASU, sad little Oregon stands alone), but the ACC, SEC, and Big 12 have their conference tournaments this week. The Pac-12 and Big Ten have theirs next week. 

ACC (Cary, NC): root for Duke to lose. We're not going to jump UNC or Georgia--their resumes are too good--but we can still finish the year ahead of Duke. I'd rather be the #3 (host the #14 team in a super regional, play #6 and then #2 UNC in a semi) than the #4 (host the #13 team in a super regional, play #5, and then #1 Georgia in a semi). Duke is the #2 seed, and it doesn't play until late in the day on Friday, when it'll likely play 7th-seeded UVA; it would then likely play #3 seed Florida State on Saturday. Duke losing takes precedence over helping the rest of the Pac-12, who would want to see Florida State, NC State, Miami, Wake Forest, and UVA all lose to help the seeding of UCLA/UW/Cal/USC. 

SEC (College Station, TX): root for Vanderbilt over South Carolina. Vandy is the 3 seed, South Carolina is the 2, and undefeated Georgia is obviously the 1, but if Vanderbilt can beat 6th-seeded Kentucky and then South Carolina, that should help our bid to finish the season above Duke (and would also keep South Carolina from passing us). 9th-seeded LSU beating 8th seed Alabama would be nice, too (I don't kid myself that they'd upset #1 UGA, but that would also be nice). To help the rest of the Pac-12, root for Tennessee and Texas A&M to lose so they stay below UW, Cal, and USC. Like the ACC, the tournament starts Wednesday, but the top teams don't play until Friday.

Big 12 (Lawrence, KS): root for Texas. The tournament is at the home courts of 3rd-seeded Kansas, which could complicate things, but Texas winning out is best for us and also helps the Pac-12 by causing Oklahoma State (currently 12th) and Kansas (currently 20th) to take losses and thus hopefully keep the other Pac-12 teams in the top 16.


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - ColoradoTree - 04-16-2019

New ITA rankings are out, and as expected, Stanford drops to #4, just a smidge ahead of South Carolina at #5. Here are the Pac-12 teams (and other teams on our schedule) in the rankings:

1. Georgia (L)
4. Stanford
7. Texas (W)
8. Vanderbilt (W)
10. UCLA (W)
13. Washington (W)
14. Cal
15. USC (W)
28. LSU (W)
34. Princeton (W)
35. Wazzu (W, W)
39. ASU (W)
48. Utah (W)

And here are the Pac-12 players (and other players we've run across this year in the dual season) in the singles rankings:

1. Jokic (Georgia)
5. Contreras (Vanderbilt)
8. Richardson (LSU)
17. Rosca (Vanderbilt)
19. Gonzalez (Georgia)
24. Bolton (UCLA)
28. Gordon (down 7)
29. B. Turati (Texas)
32. Bayerlova (WSU)
36. Arbuthnott (down 9)
37. A. Turati (Texas)
38. Lord (down 3)
39. Hart (UCLA)
43. Hauger (Cal)
44. Rosenqvist (Cal)
52. Ewing (USC)
53. Granic (Texas)
60. Melounova (Hawaii)
61. Golovin (LSU)
62. Wolff (Georgia)
64. Carle (Georgia)
65. Drummy (Vanderbilt)
72. Lampl (down 6)
75. Meyer (Vanderbilt)
90. Higuchi (up 2)
95. Fung (UW)
96. Kowalski (Georgia)
100. Nayar (Colorado)
101. John-Baptiste (ASU)
102. Kozyreva (St. Mary's)
105. Smith (Vanderbilt)
108. Shin (down 31)
111. Choy (up 4)
112. Pothoff (Santa Clara)
113. Kulikov (USC)
115. Hattingh (ASU)
119. Bright (Cal)

And in doubles:

2. John-Baptiste/Hattingh (ASU)
4. Kulikov/Valdes (USC)
8. Andrews/Broomfield (UCLA)
12. Bolton/Hart (UCLA)
14. Mraz/Rosenqvist (Cal)
15. Golovin/Richardson (LSU)
20. Andrinopolous/Malinen (Colorado)
23. Lampl/Yee (down 8)
26. Arbuthnott/Gordon (up 3)
27. Abdelouahid/Kozyreva (St. Mary's)
30. Zupancic/Fung (UW)
38. Yee/Madurawe (down 1)
39. Bright/Dunk (Cal)
43. Lord/Madurawe (down 2)
45. Smith/Contreras (Vanderbilt)
47. Sato/Mylonas (Wazzu)
49. Altick/Miller (UCLA)
54. Mraz/Stloukalova (Cal)
55. Smith/Kurtz (Vanderbilt)
59. Turati/Turati (Texas)
67. Alicea/Hampton (ASU)
69. A. Turati/Poluta (Texas)
75. Wilson/Thomas (Arizona)
76. Christofi/Wolff (Georgia)
81. Tattini/Chisholm (Utah)
88. Hart/Broomfield (UCLA)
90. Branstine/Jaeger (USC)


RE: Women's Tennis: Rocky Mountain Road Trip - eb388 - 04-16-2019

Long-time lurker... always appreciate these posts. What do the individual rankings drops mean for their chances at NCAA singles/doubles bids?