Fauci on the Easter timeline -
Snorlax94 - 03-24-2020
https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/03/24/dr-fauci-easter-timeline-coronavirus-presser-tsn-bts-vpx.cnn
On the one hand, it sounds kind of practical that you would have varying degrees of severity based on the different circumstances in each state.
On the other hand, I would be concerned about people traveling between states to avoid a lockdown. One of the reasons why covid broke out across Italy is because people fled from Milan to other regions. One of the reasons why cases are flaring up in Florida is that people are fleeing New York and bringing the disease with them. One of the reasons why I was glad there was a state wide shelter in place in California was because people would flee a shelter in place in the bay area to go to Tahoe, and people would flee a shelter in place in Los Angeles and go to Santa Barbara, and then spread the disease in those communities, and then bring it back with them when the shelter in place is lifted.
RE: Fauci on the Easter timeline -
chrisk - 03-24-2020
(03-24-2020, 05:50 PM)Snorlax94 Wrote: https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/03/24/dr-fauci-easter-timeline-coronavirus-presser-tsn-bts-vpx.cnn
On the one hand, it sounds kind of practical that you would have varying degrees of severity based on the different circumstances in each state.
On the other hand, I would be concerned about people traveling between states to avoid a lockdown. One of the reasons why covid broke out across Italy is because people fled from Milan to other regions. One of the reasons why cases are flaring up in Florida is that people are fleeing New York and bringing the disease with them. One of the reasons why I was glad there was a state wide shelter in place in California was because people would flee a shelter in place in the bay area to go to Tahoe, and people would flee a shelter in place in Los Angeles and go to Santa Barbara, and then spread the disease in those communities, and then bring it back with them when the shelter in place is lifted.
Good luck with the 14-day self quarantine by fleeing New Yorkers.
Hong Kong and Singapore have been locked down for a long time and even so they are facing a second surge.
RE: Fauci on the Easter timeline -
BostonCard - 03-24-2020
Also, remember that you are making decisions based on old data, since case counts reflect infections that happened two weeks before. Even with widespread testing where you can be fairly certain that you have an accurate estimate of patients who are positive, you still have to account for the five-day incubation period. Because of that, by the time case counts start to rise, and measures are ratcheted up, it's too late and you will get hit with a wave two weeks later before the enhanced measures start to work.
BC