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Bye Week To-Do List - Printable Version

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Bye Week To-Do List - rwait08 - 10-13-2010

I\'m sad there\'s no football on Saturday, but I\'m also looking forward to some healing and re-tooling during the bye week.  My top 3:
Anything you\'d like to add to the wishlist?

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Robbie - 10-13-2010

Open field tackling: see Luck, Andrew.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - yvonne - 10-13-2010

Wish happy birthday to Candice Wiggins who also happens to share a birthday with the webmistress.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - CowboyIndian - 10-13-2010

Salud! to you both!

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - yvonne - 10-13-2010

Yikes! wrong women\'s basketball player!

Jamila Wideman shares my birthday!

Candice\'s is February 14.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - readarmy1976 - 10-14-2010

Perfectly timed bye-week. Arizona and Oregon St. are at home. I think the football team has a decent chance of finishing 11-1.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - fullmetal - 10-14-2010

Here\'s jacketree\'s 6-6 preseason prediction breakdown:
Quote:Sac State - win or quit football   (W)
at UCLA - once again need one final stop in Rose Bowl (L)
Wake - why not (W)
at ND - see week 2 (L)
at Oregon - Autzen\'s rocking for revenge  (L)
USC - pissed off team with talent (L)
WSU - jeez (W)
at UW - Halloween, surprise team of year (L)
AZ - I said 6-6 so they better (W)
at ASU - ditto (W)
at UC - \'trette has lorded this over me long enough (W)
OSU - Beavers peaking (L)

The Oregon and USC analyses were right on, though we beat USC.  I don\'t think we lose at UW, and without one half of the Brothers Rodgers, I think we can beat OSU as well.  The Arizona/ASU analyses doesn\'t give me much confidence though.  Those might be shootout games if we can\'t stop Foles/Grigsby or Threet.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - washingtonismoney - 10-14-2010

I still have 9-3 (no, I don\'t know where the next two losses are coming from--I rate Stanford as a slim-to-decent favorite in most of the remaining games. If you have a lot of 60-40 propositions, eventually you lose a few. Arizona and Oregon State, if I have to guess.)

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Pastor - 10-14-2010

UW has about as much chance of beating us as a Democrat has in the upcoming election.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - washingtonismoney - 10-14-2010

So you\'re saying a pretty decent chance? Republicans won\'t win more than 53-55% of the vote.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Pastor - 10-14-2010

If the Reps get that vote (53-55%), they will win every election....

No, I\'m saying there\'s a chance but it is not likely

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - washingtonismoney - 10-14-2010

Overall, they\'d win the election, but obviously several Democrats will win, which I took to be the meaning of your original quip. But since you mean party v. party, that\'s that (and I disagree.) UW will be a tough opponent up in Seattle even if the weather\'s good.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Pastor - 10-14-2010

They appear to have played 3 games at home this year, lost two and won one...it is a medium hard place but nowhere near the difficulty of playing at NDU or UO

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Farm93 - 10-14-2010

Alrighty,

Let\'s play political predictions.

Using the fivethirtyeight.com type model.  I would guess that Stanford will be favored in each of the remaining games.  Therefore 11-1 is possible.  However, each game carries a reasonable chance for that hated L.

My guess is that if you threw the 6 games into a fivethirtyeight type model, Stanford likely has a 50-50 chance of going 9-3 or worse.

Oh, and that assumes that Luck stays healthy.  Any injury to Luck and the Ls will come fast and furious.  Since injuries are always possible, my guess is that 11-1 would appear rather unlikely in a model.

But it is nice to know that 11-1 is still possible.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - fullmetal - 10-14-2010

All things are possible--the dreaded injury bug dangles over the fortunes of all Pac-10 teams at the moment.  I wonder if James Rodgers is coming back for the Beavers\' last game...

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Red_Banded_Hat - 10-14-2010

Farm 93, Ken Massey has a computer model of college teams and he even helpfully provides such predictions: http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7582&s=98700
At this point in the season, he gives us a 12.2% chance of going undefeated the rest of the way, with an "expected record" of 4.3-1.7.  The last four games will be a gauntlet - 4 straight top-30 (3 top 20) teams, half on the road.  Massey\'s table of other\'s college football rankings is fun to look at too: http://www.masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm


Re: Bye Week To-Do List - jayasena - 10-15-2010

Quote:All things are possible--the dreaded injury bug dangles over the fortunes of all Pac-10 teams at the moment.  I wonder if James Rodgers is coming back for the Beavers\' last game...

James Rodgers is out for the season (http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=5675417)

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - fullmetal - 10-15-2010

Poor guy :(  \'Quizz is still the major threat though.

Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Farm93 - 10-15-2010

Quote:Farm 93, Ken Massey has a computer model of college teams and he even helpfully provides such predictions: http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=7582&s=98700
At this point in the season, he gives us a 12.2% chance of going undefeated the rest of the way, with an "expected record" of 4.3-1.7.  The last four games will be a gauntlet - 4 straight top-30 (3 top 20) teams, half on the road.  Massey\'s table of other\'s college football rankings is fun to look at too: http://www.masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm

I am not loving the mere 53% chance of winning Big Game.  Actually feels right, but still didn\'t like it.  I guess this means I should hope USC really helps C.a.l learn that their place is still below USC.  With a few more losses, it is hard to believe C.a.l will be able to hold it together into late November.


Re: Bye Week To-Do List - Spiny_Norman - 10-15-2010

Cal did a good job of keeping it together last November just long enough to beat us.  They may not be as fragile as you hope, Farm93.

Cal concerns me more than any other opponent left on the schedule.  I would not have been surprised if Massey had calculated Stanford\'s probability of winning to be < 50%.