(12-11-2015, 11:36 AM)stupac2 link Wrote:This got me curious, so I decided to try to make a "similarity score" for Stanford. I took the FEI ratings and used a sum of the squares of the differences between Stanford's raw offensive, defensive, special teams, and FVE (roughly field position advantage) rankings to come up with a single number that represents how similar teams are to Stanford overall. The closest P5 team is the University of Dead Fake Girlfriends and farthest away is Boston College, which I think actually jibes pretty well with what I would've guessed.
Anyway, the closest team to Stanford that Iowa played, by this metric, is MSU, though they're all the way down at #22 closest. Nebraska is next at #28, followed closely by Pittsburgh at #29 and Indiana at #31. Minnesota and Illinois are pretty far down the list at 54 and 58, respectively.
So I suppose those are the games to prioritize, at least by this metric. I think I'll go through and find the most similar offenses and defenses to see if that turns up anything different.
That was faster than I expected. FEI grades offenses and defenses by first down rate, percentage of available yards, explosive drive rate, methodical drive rate, and value drive rate. On offense you want higher numbers, defense lower. So these are the offenses/defenses that are most similar to us in the way they gain/allow yards and blah blah. This is obviously rough so for entertainment value only.
On offense MSU is the closest at #17, then Indiana at #22. There's a giant gulf after that, until #56 Nebraska and #60 Wisconsin, so I guess the first two are the ones to focus on.
On defense we have MSU at #10, Pittsburgh at #12, Nebraska at #28, Minnesota at #36, Indiana at #38, Iowa State at #40, and Illinois at #46. Lots of similar defenses, not so many similar offenses. But everything is coming up with MSU being the closest parallel, which I suppose bodes well for Stanford.