09-14-2018, 04:14 PM
The Farm, 41
Faux Farmers, 14
Faux Farmers, 14
Pax et Bonum
(09-15-2018, 02:15 AM)Snorlax94 Wrote: This feels like a particularly hard game to predict, because there’s so little footage of the Aggies. All I can find are a couple highlight snippets.
From what I can see, they have a top receiver, plus a lot of decent receivers. They distributed the ball to many different people last game, piling up 44 against San Jose State at San Jose State.
An old game against Oregon is online, but I don’t think that can be used as a comparison. Also, unlike USC, which strikes me as an offense with a ton of talent, but is extremely limited due to its youth, the Aggies seem to be firing on all cylinders right now. I think that actually ends up posing a greater challenge defensively. So I could see them scoring a couple times, especially if they gamble and play loose.
I would say that they would score even more, because I think that their passing game can execute really well, were the Stanford kicking game not so ridiculously good. Stanford is pretty good at limiting long plays, which will make Davis earn it piece by piece across a long field without making mistakes.
The good news, I think Stanford’s offense matches up against their defense very favorably. Unlike San Diego State, which has an undersized defense that moves a lot, Davis seems to have spent their recruiting capital getting a large sized defense, but, in the scant footage I saw, is not a defense that seems to play low or fast, and it makes mistakes. I think it’s the kind of defense our running game was made to attack. And then you add the passing game. One concerning note: I think the San Jose running back had to leave the game due to a helmet-to-helmet hit. That’s just another reason to hold Bryce out.
Basically, I see Stanford scoring as many points as they did in 2014, because Shaw will take his foot off the gas (in 2014, Stanford scored 38 in the first half, but only seven in the second half ), but with the Aggies improved offense, I see them scoring 10 more than in 2014.
Stanford, 45-10
(09-15-2018, 02:15 AM)Snorlax94 Wrote: This feels like a particularly hard game to predict, because there’s so little footage of the Aggies. All I can find are a couple highlight snippets.
From what I can see, they have a top receiver, plus a lot of decent receivers. They distributed the ball to many different people last game, piling up 44 against San Jose State at San Jose State.
An old game against Oregon is online, but I don’t think that can be used as a comparison. Also, unlike USC, which strikes me as an offense with a ton of talent, but is extremely limited due to its youth, the Aggies seem to be firing on all cylinders right now. I think that actually ends up posing a greater challenge defensively. So I could see them scoring a couple times, especially if they gamble and play loose.
I would say that they would score even more, because I think that their passing game can execute really well, were the Stanford kicking game not so ridiculously good. Stanford is pretty good at limiting long plays, which will make Davis earn it piece by piece across a long field without making mistakes.
The good news, I think Stanford’s offense matches up against their defense very favorably. Unlike San Diego State, which has an undersized defense that moves a lot, Davis seems to have spent their recruiting capital getting a large sized defense, but, in the scant footage I saw, is not a defense that seems to play low or fast, and it makes mistakes. I think it’s the kind of defense our running game was made to attack. And then you add the passing game. One concerning note: I think the San Jose running back had to leave the game due to a helmet-to-helmet hit. That’s just another reason to hold Bryce out.
Basically, I see Stanford scoring as many points as they did in 2014, because Shaw will take his foot off the gas (in 2014, Stanford scored 38 in the first half, but only seven in the second half ), but with the Aggies improved offense, I see them scoring 10 more than in 2014.
Stanford, 45-10
(09-09-2018, 04:14 PM)BostonCard Wrote: Who the hell knows; I picked 35 - 10, but I could easily see us with a 60+ point game (a la Rice last year), and a shutout. I could easily see us come out very flat.
BC
(09-09-2018, 04:14 PM)BostonCard Wrote: Who the hell knows; I picked 35 - 10, but I could easily see us with a 60+ point game (a la Rice last year), and a shutout. I could easily see us come out very flat.
BC
| User Name | Prediction | Error | Rank Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Publius | 30-6 | 4 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 60 |
| Boston Card | 35-10 | 5 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 58 |
| AcesUp | 31-6 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| George | 34-7 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| BigEasyCard | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| TreesAndBirds | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| Stanfordindians1 | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| Hurlburt88 | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| pasportsfan | 40-10 | 10 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 49 |
| shinsengumi | 38-9 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| MiamiCard | 35-14 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| qwerty49 | 24-6 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Papa John | 38-7 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| CPSteeple | 38-7 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Renaissance Man | 38-7 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Cowboy1 | 42-10 | 12 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| Rodgermill | 42-10 | 12 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| pcgoode | 42-10 | 12 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| washingtonismoney | 44-10 | 14 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| 2 for 2028 | 38-6 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Extra Point | 38-6 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| PVTree | 38-6 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| CTcard | 35-17 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| 82lsju | 38-14 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Langdude | 41-13 | 14 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
| Durty Nelly | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Snorlax94 | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| ColoradoTree | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Sea Loon | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| adawem | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| thunder_chik | 41-14 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Seascapemirisd | 42-13 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| snodfart76 | 41-6 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Phogge | 38-17 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Robinson's Heave | 42-14 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Austroturf | 42-14 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| meccam | 42-6 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Sonof80sCard | 48-10 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| 50threunion2018 | 48-10 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| pefloresjr | 41-16 | 17 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| CardinalSagehen | 45-7 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 81alum | 49-10 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| murky | 45-6 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| bbm233 | 45-14 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Indiancardinal | 48-9 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| JeffInCorvallis | 17-3 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| djones | 52-10 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| ADPinWDC | 52-10 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| martyup | 43-3 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| d4cohn | 52-10 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| winflop | 49-16 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| justanotherfan | 48-3 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Hank 91 | 49-16 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| GoodGrief | 48-0 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| JJJ | 52-17 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Cornfed | 45-27 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mick | 63-7 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Agalum | 32-35 | 27 | 0 | 0 | -10 | -10 |
| User Name | Prediction | Error | Rank Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Publius | 30-6 | 4 | 57 | 3 | 0 | 60 |
| Boston Card | 35-10 | 5 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 58 |
| AcesUp | 31-6 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 55 |
| George | 34-7 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| BigEasyCard | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| TreesAndBirds | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| Stanfordindians1 | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| Hurlburt88 | 38-10 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 53 |
| pasportsfan | 40-10 | 10 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 49 |
| shinsengumi | 38-9 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| MiamiCard | 35-14 | 9 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 48 |
| qwerty49 | 24-6 | 10 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 46 |
| Papa John | 38-7 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| CPSteeple | 38-7 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Renaissance Man | 38-7 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 43 |
| Cowboy1 | 42-10 | 12 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| Rodgermill | 42-10 | 12 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| pcgoode | 42-10 | 12 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 38 |
| washingtonismoney | 44-10 | 14 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| 2 for 2028 | 38-6 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Extra Point | 38-6 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| PVTree | 38-6 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| CTcard | 35-17 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| 82lsju | 38-14 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Langdude | 41-13 | 14 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 33 |
| Durty Nelly | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Snorlax94 | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| ColoradoTree | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Sea Loon | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| adawem | 45-10 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| thunder_chik | 41-14 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Seascapemirisd | 42-13 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| snodfart76 | 41-6 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Phogge | 38-17 | 15 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| Robinson's Heave | 42-14 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Austroturf | 42-14 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| meccam | 42-6 | 16 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Sonof80sCard | 48-10 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| 50threunion2018 | 48-10 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| pefloresjr | 41-16 | 17 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| CardinalSagehen | 45-7 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 81alum | 49-10 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| murky | 45-6 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| bbm233 | 45-14 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Indiancardinal | 48-9 | 19 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| JeffInCorvallis | 17-3 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| djones | 52-10 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| ADPinWDC | 52-10 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| martyup | 43-3 | 20 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| d4cohn | 52-10 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| winflop | 49-16 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| justanotherfan | 48-3 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Hank 91 | 49-16 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| GoodGrief | 48-0 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| JJJ | 52-17 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Cornfed | 45-27 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mick | 63-7 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Agalum | 32-35 | 27 | 0 | 0 | -10 | -10 |
| PLAYER | SDSU | USC | UCD | Season Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiamiCard | 73 | 42 | 48 | 163 |
| pasportsfan | 58 | 53 | 49 | 160 |
| Pvtree | 73 | 49 | 35 | 157 |
| StanfordIndians1 | 54 | 47 | 53 | 154 |
| Cowboy1 | 64 | 52 | 38 | 154 |
| Publius | 44 | 32 | 60 | 136 |
| AcesUp | 50 | 25 | 55 | 130 |
| Langdude | 44 | 44 | 33 | 121 |
| pcgoode | 50 | 32 | 38 | 120 |
| Snorlax94 | 58 | 35 | 27 | 120 |
| george | 9 | 57 | 54 | 120 |
| CPSteeple | 50 | 25 | 43 | 118 |
| Renaissance Man | 64 | 7 | 43 | 114 |
| TreesAndBirds | 16 | 44 | 53 | 113 |
| 50threunion2018 | 50 | 37 | 20 | 107 |
| Extra Point | 55 | 17 | 35 | 107 |
| thunder_chik | 29 | 51 | 24 | 104 |
| Robinson's Heave | 58 | 24 | 21 | 103 |
| Hurlburt88 | 32 | 17 | 53 | 102 |
| meccam | 44 | 37 | 21 | 102 |
| phogge | 63 | 13 | 24 | 100 |
| Mick | 47 | 50 | 1 | 98 |
| Sonof80sCard | 37 | 40 | 20 | 97 |
| Papa John | 26 | 25 | 43 | 94 |
| Seascapemirisd | 16 | 47 | 24 | 87 |
| Durty Nelly | 16 | 44 | 27 | 87 |
| 82lsju | 26 | 25 | 35 | 86 |
| 81alum | 44 | 25 | 16 | 85 |
| d4cohn | 29 | 42 | 11 | 82 |
| Hank 91 | 58 | 17 | 5 | 80 |
| Boston Card | 16 | 4 | 58 | 78 |
| CTcard | 29 | 13 | 35 | 77 |
| ColoradoTree | 16 | 32 | 27 | 75 |
| washingtonismoney | 37 | 2 | 36 | 75 |
| martyup | 37 | 23 | 11 | 71 |
| Sea Loon | 43 | 0 | 27 | 70 |
| BigEasyCard | 9 | 7 | 53 | 69 |
| pefloresjr | 44 | 3 | 20 | 67 |
| shinsengumi | 9 | 9 | 48 | 66 |
| needle | 29 | 37 | 0 | 66 |
| 2 for 2028 | 16 | 9 | 35 | 60 |
| CardinalSagehen | 16 | 25 | 17 | 58 |
| qwerty49 | 7 | 0 | 46 | 53 |
| ADPinWDC | 2 | 40 | 11 | 53 |
| snodfart76 | 26 | 0 | 24 | 50 |
| bbm233 | 32 | 4 | 13 | 49 |
| Rodgermill | 5 | 6 | 38 | 49 |
| justanotherfan | 9 | 35 | 5 | 49 |
| PalmTree | 16 | 25 | 0 | 41 |
| 97fan | 37 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| LeftCoast | 37 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| CardCrimson | 37 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| murky | 7 | 17 | 13 | 37 |
| djones | 16 | 9 | 11 | 36 |
| Indiancardinal | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35 |
| JeffInCorvallis | 9 | 12 | 11 | 32 |
| goodgrief | 25 | 0 | 4 | 29 |
| rinkiedinkie | 29 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| oman | 29 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| winflop | 4 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| JJJ | 9 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
| WhatsYourDeal | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Cornfed | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| GoAztecs! | -9 | 0 | 0 | -9 |
| themtecstho | -10 | 0 | 0 | -10 |
| PLAYER | SDSU | USC | UCD | Season Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiamiCard | 73 | 42 | 48 | 163 |
| pasportsfan | 58 | 53 | 49 | 160 |
| Pvtree | 73 | 49 | 35 | 157 |
| StanfordIndians1 | 54 | 47 | 53 | 154 |
| Cowboy1 | 64 | 52 | 38 | 154 |
| Publius | 44 | 32 | 60 | 136 |
| AcesUp | 50 | 25 | 55 | 130 |
| Langdude | 44 | 44 | 33 | 121 |
| pcgoode | 50 | 32 | 38 | 120 |
| Snorlax94 | 58 | 35 | 27 | 120 |
| george | 9 | 57 | 54 | 120 |
| CPSteeple | 50 | 25 | 43 | 118 |
| Renaissance Man | 64 | 7 | 43 | 114 |
| TreesAndBirds | 16 | 44 | 53 | 113 |
| 50threunion2018 | 50 | 37 | 20 | 107 |
| Extra Point | 55 | 17 | 35 | 107 |
| thunder_chik | 29 | 51 | 24 | 104 |
| Robinson's Heave | 58 | 24 | 21 | 103 |
| Hurlburt88 | 32 | 17 | 53 | 102 |
| meccam | 44 | 37 | 21 | 102 |
| phogge | 63 | 13 | 24 | 100 |
| Mick | 47 | 50 | 1 | 98 |
| Sonof80sCard | 37 | 40 | 20 | 97 |
| Papa John | 26 | 25 | 43 | 94 |
| Seascapemirisd | 16 | 47 | 24 | 87 |
| Durty Nelly | 16 | 44 | 27 | 87 |
| 82lsju | 26 | 25 | 35 | 86 |
| 81alum | 44 | 25 | 16 | 85 |
| d4cohn | 29 | 42 | 11 | 82 |
| Hank 91 | 58 | 17 | 5 | 80 |
| Boston Card | 16 | 4 | 58 | 78 |
| CTcard | 29 | 13 | 35 | 77 |
| ColoradoTree | 16 | 32 | 27 | 75 |
| washingtonismoney | 37 | 2 | 36 | 75 |
| martyup | 37 | 23 | 11 | 71 |
| Sea Loon | 43 | 0 | 27 | 70 |
| BigEasyCard | 9 | 7 | 53 | 69 |
| pefloresjr | 44 | 3 | 20 | 67 |
| shinsengumi | 9 | 9 | 48 | 66 |
| needle | 29 | 37 | 0 | 66 |
| 2 for 2028 | 16 | 9 | 35 | 60 |
| CardinalSagehen | 16 | 25 | 17 | 58 |
| qwerty49 | 7 | 0 | 46 | 53 |
| ADPinWDC | 2 | 40 | 11 | 53 |
| snodfart76 | 26 | 0 | 24 | 50 |
| bbm233 | 32 | 4 | 13 | 49 |
| Rodgermill | 5 | 6 | 38 | 49 |
| justanotherfan | 9 | 35 | 5 | 49 |
| PalmTree | 16 | 25 | 0 | 41 |
| 97fan | 37 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| LeftCoast | 37 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| CardCrimson | 37 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| murky | 7 | 17 | 13 | 37 |
| djones | 16 | 9 | 11 | 36 |
| Indiancardinal | 9 | 13 | 13 | 35 |
| JeffInCorvallis | 9 | 12 | 11 | 32 |
| goodgrief | 25 | 0 | 4 | 29 |
| rinkiedinkie | 29 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| oman | 29 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| winflop | 4 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
| JJJ | 9 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
| WhatsYourDeal | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Cornfed | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| GoAztecs! | -9 | 0 | 0 | -9 |
| themtecstho | -10 | 0 | 0 | -10 |
(09-19-2018, 10:45 AM)ADPinWDC Wrote: I am in for TREES 37, DUCK-FLUFF 20.
* Looking at the SJST film on Pac12N, their OLine did not move Spartans much, and their D-Line is soft.
They play some 2-4-5 like we do, and look more like SDSU: agile quick LBs, but they lack heft up front.
==> Our run game gets healthy on Oregon. And the PassPro needs to pick up the blitzing LBs.
* Our TEs and JJAW will be open all day. SJSU has a stud TE in Oliver, and he feasted on Ducks.
==> Play action will yield first downs; their DBs cannot stay with our array of talent.
* Dial up the blitz packages; We cannot rush 3 and let Herbert pick his receiver. Get into his duckbill, early.
-- I think Fox and Reid can cover for Toohill being out, and I think they are quicker -- important for Ducks.
* They have some skill players: But Herbert is not Mariotta; and Royce Freeman is gone; so is D.Thomas and LaMichael James.
* Without Love last week: Speights got good reps. I want to see more of Heimuli flattening ducks.
* Put Michael Wilson back for punts; he posted bonus yardage. Justus Woods showed a little flash in garbage time.
* KJC isn't a rookie anymore -- I think he gets it together on the road. Autzen gets real quiet if we score first.
With disciplined Shaw, I think ESPN Game Day is a bigger distraction for Oregon than us. It's their pond.
(09-19-2018, 10:45 AM)ADPinWDC Wrote: I am in for TREES 37, DUCK-FLUFF 20.
* Looking at the SJST film on Pac12N, their OLine did not move Spartans much, and their D-Line is soft.
They play some 2-4-5 like we do, and look more like SDSU: agile quick LBs, but they lack heft up front.
==> Our run game gets healthy on Oregon. And the PassPro needs to pick up the blitzing LBs.
* Our TEs and JJAW will be open all day. SJSU has a stud TE in Oliver, and he feasted on Ducks.
==> Play action will yield first downs; their DBs cannot stay with our array of talent.
* Dial up the blitz packages; We cannot rush 3 and let Herbert pick his receiver. Get into his duckbill, early.
-- I think Fox and Reid can cover for Toohill being out, and I think they are quicker -- important for Ducks.
* They have some skill players: But Herbert is not Mariotta; and Royce Freeman is gone; so is D.Thomas and LaMichael James.
* Without Love last week: Speights got good reps. I want to see more of Heimuli flattening ducks.
* Put Michael Wilson back for punts; he posted bonus yardage. Justus Woods showed a little flash in garbage time.
* KJC isn't a rookie anymore -- I think he gets it together on the road. Autzen gets real quiet if we score first.
With disciplined Shaw, I think ESPN Game Day is a bigger distraction for Oregon than us. It's their pond.