(10-12-2018, 05:54 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote: Start games running a pro style offense with 22 personnel (1 RB, 1 FB, 1 TE, 2 WRs)
22 personnel is two running backs and two tight ends (the number of wide receivers is inferred, by subtracting the total of running backs and tight ends from 5).
That being said, I agree that the personnel grouping you described (21 personnel) or 12 personnel without a fullback is probably the best way to go given our strengths right now. The good news is that I think this is the grouping we are running most commonly, especially on pass plays. I agree with OL that given that having a heavy (22) grouping doesn’t seem to be benefiting us in terms of the run game, and makes it more difficult to change the play to a pass when we see an unfavorable pre-snap defensive alignment, we should ditch it except in rare cases (third or fourth and short, goal line formations, etc.).
I also favor simplifying the playbook until the offense (and particularly the offensive line) shows that they can execute it successfully. I actually think play action passing is a particularly bad idea right now for reasons that CTCard has elucidated in the past:
1) teams are generally no longer overcommiting to stopping the run now that they know they can stop our running attack straight up
2) we are not having particular trouble with receiving match-ups downfield
3) Costello is not especially good at selling the fake
4) play action requires the offensive line to hold its blocks longer, which right now doesn’t seem to be the strength of the OL
Don’t get me wrong, I love the play action pass, because it can be deadly when the offense is clicking. To me, the Orange Bowl against Virginia Tech is the epitome of what I would like the Stanford offense to look like, and it featured big passes to Coby Fleener off the play action pass. But I think the offense is a ways away from being able to execute it successfully, and right now I don’t think the running game is clicking well enough to make the fake credible.
Perhaps the converse may be more helpful. Throw downfield and then run a draw using 11 or 12 personnel if the defense shifts to a cover 2 defense (but again, the line would have to hold its blocks long enough to let the play develop, and I’m not entirely sure they can do that).
BC
(10-12-2018, 10:10 AM)Goose Wrote: (10-12-2018, 09:56 AM)OL84 Wrote: The hardest part of this change is that the planning strategy, weekday practice and QB reads need a new focus. It can be done if there is a commitment to do so. The plays have been in the book from the beginning.
One factor you aren't giving enough weight is that you also need players that can run those plays. You can "put them in" and practice them. The result of that practice can be the conclusion "We don't run this play well at all. I can't call it and expect it to work." While the coaching staff may be biased, they aren't so foolish as to disregard a successful play on general principles. I am pretty sure they have looked carefully at their options and decided that the "change" won't work.
When things aren't going as well as expected, the temptation is to say "We should change <fill in the blank> and then things will get better." Often that just isn't true, and when you change something, things get worse. I am pretty sure the coaches see what we see. Unlike us, they probably have seen the results when they try some of the changes on Tuesday. There are some value judgements involved, for sure. It may be that if we made a change and stuck with it, things would get worse and then later in the year they would get better. But six games into the season is pretty late to go there.
Completely agree. As the post suggesting that we run the wildcat shows, when things aren’t working, fans will always call for running x, where x is anything we aren’t running, even when x is a play that is almost universally panned when it is being run.
BC