(03-08-2021, 12:56 PM)Papa John Wrote: (03-08-2021, 11:32 AM)burger Wrote: <snip>
So, I'm not complaining about our seeding--it's just a silly system.
How would you fix it? I don't mean that as any sort of pejorative, I'm just not sure how to do better.
I've stated elsewhere that the first tiebreaker should be games above .500, so that a 1-0 team is not ranked higher than a 17-1 team. In reality, Oregon and USC both finished 10 games over .500, but Oregon was seeded #1 because they played two fewer games and therefore had a higher winning percentage. But in the only game they managed to play, USC defeated Oregon. So I think USC has a bonafide complaint--on the other hand, it's USC, so I don't care that much.
In this case, Stanford and OSU have identical 10-10 conference records and were 1-1 head-to-head. Oregon State split against USC and Stanford was 0-2, so OSU still comes out ahead even if USC had been ranked first in the conference.
I just checked the Big 10, Big 12, SEC, and ACC, and they all use the exact same method. In fact, most of them use the same wording in their rules, suggesting that they're all copying the same crappy template.
No pro sports use your record against a single opponent as a tiebreaker. They use conference, division, record vs. playoff teams, etc. There are just too many vagaries in sports to let postseason seeds hinge on the outcome of a single game or two (see, for instance, OU-OSU and Covid this year). You can reduce the variance due to a single game by just using a bigger pool of games. How about record vs. the top 4 teams in the conference to start and then keep adding teams (5th, 6th, etc.) to break any ties.
(03-08-2021, 01:28 PM)AlbanyCardinal Wrote: "The Weenies are really bad. Even without Davis/Wills/da Silva we will win. But Colorado will take us to the woodshed."
I see no reason to think Stanford can beat anybody right now, especially with key players on the bench (for whatever reason) and the team's morale at an all-time low (for whatever reasons). If Stanford's without ODS and the internal storm's as bad as we're hearing, I'd honestly pick cal.
Ditto. I think Bradley is going to go off, and we won't have the offense to keep up.
If Oscar, Wills, and Davis all play, then we should be favored. That seems unlikely at this point, though.