08-28-2021, 09:15 PM
12-0 still on the table...
2021 Stanford at Kansas State Prediction Thread
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08-29-2021, 06:55 AM
Kansas State 35 Stanford 28
Only because it is the first game and it is on the road. Often when a team goes on the road the first game of the season against a fairly good opponent unexpected stuff happens no matter how much preparation.
Only because it is the first game and it is on the road. Often when a team goes on the road the first game of the season against a fairly good opponent unexpected stuff happens no matter how much preparation.
Kansas State 35 Stanford 28
Only because it is the first game and it is on the road. Often when a team goes on the road the first game of the season against a fairly good opponent unexpected stuff happens no matter how much preparation.
Only because it is the first game and it is on the road. Often when a team goes on the road the first game of the season against a fairly good opponent unexpected stuff happens no matter how much preparation.
(08-29-2021, 06:55 AM)paloalto Wrote: Kansas State 35 Stanford 28
Only because it is the first game and it is on the road. Often when a team goes on the road the first game of the season against a fairly good opponent unexpected stuff happens no matter how much preparation.
I'm hoping for more of an outcome like KSU's first game of last season when Arkansas State visited and beat them 35-31....
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
(08-29-2021, 06:55 AM)paloalto Wrote: Kansas State 35 Stanford 28
Only because it is the first game and it is on the road. Often when a team goes on the road the first game of the season against a fairly good opponent unexpected stuff happens no matter how much preparation.
I'm hoping for more of an outcome like KSU's first game of last season when Arkansas State visited and beat them 35-31....
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
08-29-2021, 04:32 PM
I have the shame so far, but I have no confidence in our defense, and our offense will feature a QB with at most two starts. Plus we are playing a morning game in central time. All of which is a recipe for a tough outing for Stanford.
BC
BC
I have the shame so far, but I have no confidence in our defense, and our offense will feature a QB with at most two starts. Plus we are playing a morning game in central time. All of which is a recipe for a tough outing for Stanford.
BC
BC
08-30-2021, 08:45 PM
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
08-31-2021, 08:53 AM
Are they traveling Thursday or Friday (saving costs)?
Really stupid to bow to TV and play a 9am PDT game.
Really stupid to bow to TV and play a 9am PDT game.
08-31-2021, 10:25 AM
Stanford will smoke these guys: 31-10
Ground and pound; play keep-away; win game.
Ground and pound; play keep-away; win game.
Stanford will smoke these guys: 31-10
Ground and pound; play keep-away; win game.
Ground and pound; play keep-away; win game.
Let's assume that this group has the best crowd-sourced insight into Stanford football and represents the true wisdom of the crowds. Let's also assume that we also have a home bias that we grapple with. Armed with that information and the predictions we make, what is an accurate representation of our home bias? Right now we are calling this one just about a Stanford -1 game or a tossup. With a current line of KSU -2.5, are we a 3.5 - 4.0 point home bias crowd? Is that consistent over the course of a season or from year to year? Do you think our home bias shrinks after a loss or an ugly game? Does it grow and sometimes put us way out on a limb after a good game or two in a row? Curious to hear what others think. I know we *always* overreact to the last data point.
Let's assume that this group has the best crowd-sourced insight into Stanford football and represents the true wisdom of the crowds. Let's also assume that we also have a home bias that we grapple with. Armed with that information and the predictions we make, what is an accurate representation of our home bias? Right now we are calling this one just about a Stanford -1 game or a tossup. With a current line of KSU -2.5, are we a 3.5 - 4.0 point home bias crowd? Is that consistent over the course of a season or from year to year? Do you think our home bias shrinks after a loss or an ugly game? Does it grow and sometimes put us way out on a limb after a good game or two in a row? Curious to hear what others think. I know we *always* overreact to the last data point.
08-31-2021, 02:25 PM
(08-31-2021, 01:52 PM)bl82 Wrote: I know we *always* overreact to the last data point.
I know the data point that I'm currently overreacting to is the 9:00 a.m. start time. Ugh. Not conducive to our best efforts, particularly coupled with the Friday departure.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
08-31-2021, 02:38 PM
(08-31-2021, 01:52 PM)bl82 Wrote: Let's assume that this group has the best crowd-sourced insight into Stanford football and represents the true wisdom of the crowds. Let's also assume that we also have a home bias that we grapple with. Armed with that information and the predictions we make, what is an accurate representation of our home bias? Right now we are calling this one just about a Stanford -1 game or a tossup. With a current line of KSU -2.5, are we a 3.5 - 4.0 point home bias crowd? Is that consistent over the course of a season or from year to year? Do you think our home bias shrinks after a loss or an ugly game? Does it grow and sometimes put us way out on a limb after a good game or two in a row? Curious to hear what others think. I know we *always* overreact to the last data point.
well truth be told I have never picked Stanford to lose in the "Cardboard predict a score" threads, if others are similar (looking at you Bobk) that's going to skew the results.....
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
(08-31-2021, 01:52 PM)bl82 Wrote: Let's assume that this group has the best crowd-sourced insight into Stanford football and represents the true wisdom of the crowds. Let's also assume that we also have a home bias that we grapple with. Armed with that information and the predictions we make, what is an accurate representation of our home bias? Right now we are calling this one just about a Stanford -1 game or a tossup. With a current line of KSU -2.5, are we a 3.5 - 4.0 point home bias crowd? Is that consistent over the course of a season or from year to year? Do you think our home bias shrinks after a loss or an ugly game? Does it grow and sometimes put us way out on a limb after a good game or two in a row? Curious to hear what others think. I know we *always* overreact to the last data point.
well truth be told I have never picked Stanford to lose in the "Cardboard predict a score" threads, if others are similar (looking at you Bobk) that's going to skew the results.....
Eric
"the older we get the better we were"
08-31-2021, 02:45 PM
Back when Stanford football was really good, wasn't there a Cardboarder who picked Stanford to lose every game, regardless of the opponent? I think it was to appease the woofing gods.
If there's one thing people have learned in Berkeley, it's that you can't put "Cal football" and "Rose Bowl" in the same sentence. The words just don't fit. You'd be better off linking "covered wagons" with "Mars travel." (Bruce Jenkins, Cal '70, SF Chronicle, Nov. 11, 2017)
Back when Stanford football was really good, wasn't there a Cardboarder who picked Stanford to lose every game, regardless of the opponent? I think it was to appease the woofing gods.
If there's one thing people have learned in Berkeley, it's that you can't put "Cal football" and "Rose Bowl" in the same sentence. The words just don't fit. You'd be better off linking "covered wagons" with "Mars travel." (Bruce Jenkins, Cal '70, SF Chronicle, Nov. 11, 2017)
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