10-21-2025, 08:46 AM
(This post was last modified: 10-21-2025, 08:53 AM by OCcardinal.)
Stanford has clinched a spot in the ACC tournament. They clinch the bye with a tie vs SMU, but may clinch it before then, as explained below.
College: (league points) remaining games
Stanford: (22) SMU, at Cal
Notre Dame: (21) at VT, at WF, at Pitt [has
Cal: (16) Stanford
Virginia: (14) FSU, Pitt, BC
NCSU: (14) Louisville, Duke, at UNC
Louisville: (14) at NCSU, SMU
FSU: (14) at Virginia, Wake Forest
Duke: (12) Syracuse, at NCSU, Clemson
UNC: (12) at Miami, Syracuse, NCSU
Wake Forest: (11) Pitt, Notre Dame, at FSU
Clemson: (11) at BC, at Duke
For the regular season the ACC has co-champions. So if Stanford wins out and Notre Dame happens to tie Wake, for example, Stanford would tie for the ACC Championship. Massey gives Stanford an 87% chance of beating SMU and a 67% chance of beating Cal. Notre Dame's odds are: VT (65%), WF (61%) and Pitt (72%). The most likely outcome is they both win out and Stanford finishes 2nd.
Two teams are still mathematically in the hunt to catch Stanford for 2nd place (and the ACC tournament bye):
Virginia: 8 points behind with 3 games to go. They play Florida State on Thursday. If they do not win, Stanford is guaranteed to finish ahead of them. If they win out, Stanford needs only one tie as they have the head-to-head tiebreaker.
North Carolina State: also 8 points behind with 3 games to go, but they are major underdogs in each of those games. Similar to Virginia, if they win out then Stanford will need at least one tie to finish as the 2nd seed (Stanford would have the mutual opponents results tiebreaker, as NCSU tied both Virginia Tech and FSU).
In any event, there is a good chance neither Virginia nor NCSU wins their game on Thursday, in which case Stanford will have clinched the first round bye before they play SMU. Maybe they can give Freer the week off.
Cal will be hungry next week as they are a bubble team, fighting for spots in both the ACC and NCAA tournaments. And their ties against FSU and Virginia show they can be dangerous.
College: (league points) remaining games
Stanford: (22) SMU, at Cal
Notre Dame: (21) at VT, at WF, at Pitt [has
Cal: (16) Stanford
Virginia: (14) FSU, Pitt, BC
NCSU: (14) Louisville, Duke, at UNC
Louisville: (14) at NCSU, SMU
FSU: (14) at Virginia, Wake Forest
Duke: (12) Syracuse, at NCSU, Clemson
UNC: (12) at Miami, Syracuse, NCSU
Wake Forest: (11) Pitt, Notre Dame, at FSU
Clemson: (11) at BC, at Duke
For the regular season the ACC has co-champions. So if Stanford wins out and Notre Dame happens to tie Wake, for example, Stanford would tie for the ACC Championship. Massey gives Stanford an 87% chance of beating SMU and a 67% chance of beating Cal. Notre Dame's odds are: VT (65%), WF (61%) and Pitt (72%). The most likely outcome is they both win out and Stanford finishes 2nd.
Two teams are still mathematically in the hunt to catch Stanford for 2nd place (and the ACC tournament bye):
Virginia: 8 points behind with 3 games to go. They play Florida State on Thursday. If they do not win, Stanford is guaranteed to finish ahead of them. If they win out, Stanford needs only one tie as they have the head-to-head tiebreaker.
North Carolina State: also 8 points behind with 3 games to go, but they are major underdogs in each of those games. Similar to Virginia, if they win out then Stanford will need at least one tie to finish as the 2nd seed (Stanford would have the mutual opponents results tiebreaker, as NCSU tied both Virginia Tech and FSU).
In any event, there is a good chance neither Virginia nor NCSU wins their game on Thursday, in which case Stanford will have clinched the first round bye before they play SMU. Maybe they can give Freer the week off.
Cal will be hungry next week as they are a bubble team, fighting for spots in both the ACC and NCAA tournaments. And their ties against FSU and Virginia show they can be dangerous.

