10-06-2015, 09:58 AM
(10-06-2015, 07:42 AM)Hulk01 link Wrote:And yes, Utah 34 Low APR U 27 doesn't sound quite right at first, either. But Utah will make Low APR U work for everything, something they haven't had to do against what has been a very weak group of opponents. Low APR U has relied on a ridiculous turnover margin, and the Utes doesn't turn the ball over. Still, Utah scoring 34 seems excessive; they simply don't make big plays, other than an special teams, and they've already scored more than their quota there already. Somehow, Utah 27 sounds much better; may 27-24 Utah or even 31-28 Low APR U--the under in each case,
This is a game between the #1 (Utah) and #2 (c.a.l.) teams in the conference by turnover margin. Utah got there by not turning the ball over much: 1.0 turnovers given up per game, that's tied for third in the conference. c.a.l. got there by both getting and giving up lots: gained 3.6 per game, easily first in conference; gave up 2 per game, second worst.
Utah's defense also doesn't appear to be quite what it was. I'd go with the over.