[Mick]

For a variety of reasons, Shaw's interested are intertwined in Northern California.  I don't see Shaw going to an outhouse of a college coaching job in SoCal.  My core concern would be a perfect storm of bad-things-at-Stanford (given the AD and who-knows-what-happens-at-admissions) and the timing with Tomsula's ultimate failure.  The Niners have had a litany of bad decisions and bad luck.  My prediction prior to the season was 4-12.  Tomsula's in waaaaaay over his head, and the forced parallel that Jed York was making between Steve Kerr and Tomsula is breathtakingly blind. 

So Jed has had bad years.  He got Harbaugh, who made Jed more sad and mad than glad, and he has Trent Baalke as his own personal Scylla, although Charybdis now coaches at Michigan.  As bad as it was having Harbaugh around, Jed is about to find out what it's like to have driven his own train over the cliff.  I wonder about Baalke and his track record.  it seems he has drafted some good players, but has had some duds.  Baalke's draft success has been mixed, particularly with problem personalities who couldn't turn it around and early retirement of successful high draft picks.  2010 and 2011 were good to very good drafts.  2012, there's no one left from that draft.  2013, 2014, pretty good. 

http://blog.chron.com/ultimatetexans/201...oto-692047

Along those lines, I wonder about former 49er GM, Scot McLoughan, currently the GM at Washington.  Supposedly he's suffered from Sark-style issues over the years, leading to short stints as the Niners' GM.  I read an analysis of NFL GMs that ranked him 30 of 32, but generally praised him for great 49er drafts that "Trent Baalke is wrecking" and for reviving the Seahawks as a "senior personnel executive."  Same article ranked Baalke at #13, but clearly based his ranking on the Niners' success under Harbaugh.  The Sporting News ranked Baalke as #6 last year, but #18 this year, so his stock is falling fast in their eyes.

So the question:  Does York fire both Baalke and Tomsula in the next 24 months?  Does he fire just Tomsula?  And how much guaranteed money will he throw at Shaw?  Harbaugh's the highest paid college coach at $7 million (and earning it< BTW).  Belichick, Payton, Fisher and Harbaugh all make between $7 mm and $8 mm annually.  What if York throws $8-10 mms. for five years at Shaw?

[Mick]

For a variety of reasons, Shaw's interested are intertwined in Northern California.  I don't see Shaw going to an outhouse of a college coaching job in SoCal.  My core concern would be a perfect storm of bad-things-at-Stanford (given the AD and who-knows-what-happens-at-admissions) and the timing with Tomsula's ultimate failure.  The Niners have had a litany of bad decisions and bad luck.  My prediction prior to the season was 4-12.  Tomsula's in waaaaaay over his head, and the forced parallel that Jed York was making between Steve Kerr and Tomsula is breathtakingly blind. 

So Jed has had bad years.  He got Harbaugh, who made Jed more sad and mad than glad, and he has Trent Baalke as his own personal Scylla, although Charybdis now coaches at Michigan.  As bad as it was having Harbaugh around, Jed is about to find out what it's like to have driven his own train over the cliff.  I wonder about Baalke and his track record.  it seems he has drafted some good players, but has had some duds.  Baalke's draft success has been mixed, particularly with problem personalities who couldn't turn it around and early retirement of successful high draft picks.  2010 and 2011 were good to very good drafts.  2012, there's no one left from that draft.  2013, 2014, pretty good. 

http://blog.chron.com/ultimatetexans/201...oto-692047

Along those lines, I wonder about former 49er GM, Scot McLoughan, currently the GM at Washington.  Supposedly he's suffered from Sark-style issues over the years, leading to short stints as the Niners' GM.  I read an analysis of NFL GMs that ranked him 30 of 32, but generally praised him for great 49er drafts that "Trent Baalke is wrecking" and for reviving the Seahawks as a "senior personnel executive."  Same article ranked Baalke at #13, but clearly based his ranking on the Niners' success under Harbaugh.  The Sporting News ranked Baalke as #6 last year, but #18 this year, so his stock is falling fast in their eyes.

So the question:  Does York fire both Baalke and Tomsula in the next 24 months?  Does he fire just Tomsula?  And how much guaranteed money will he throw at Shaw?  Harbaugh's the highest paid college coach at $7 million (and earning it< BTW).  Belichick, Payton, Fisher and Harbaugh all make between $7 mm and $8 mm annually.  What if York throws $8-10 mms. for five years at Shaw?