12-01-2015, 09:16 AM
I like that everyone looking into it is coming to the same conclusions that I did about Helton. The only games he's won by more than a score had a ton of turnovers, and USC's ypp metrics have actually regressed under him. We're typically not sloppy with the ball, if we don't turn it over I think our odds are quite good.
Also, looking into the ypp stuff has me even more baffled about the advanced stats' love for this team. In their last 7 games they've looked like a completely average team (gaining and allowing almost exactly their opponents' season averages in ypp), so what are they seeing that they love so much? Maybe it's explosiveness, or maybe they don't get a lot of negative plays so they're pretty efficient? I don't know, hopefully Connelly or someone does a breakdown of the game so we can get more idea of what they think USC does well.
Also, looking into the ypp stuff has me even more baffled about the advanced stats' love for this team. In their last 7 games they've looked like a completely average team (gaining and allowing almost exactly their opponents' season averages in ypp), so what are they seeing that they love so much? Maybe it's explosiveness, or maybe they don't get a lot of negative plays so they're pretty efficient? I don't know, hopefully Connelly or someone does a breakdown of the game so we can get more idea of what they think USC does well.