Bama has probably a ~ 5% chance of losing. Clemson has a ~ 35% chance of losing. We have a ~ 60% chance of winning. So I calculate a ~ 23% chance of making it into the playoffs.
Bama has probably a ~ 5% chance of losing. Clemson has a ~ 35% chance of losing. We have a ~ 60% chance of winning. So I calculate a ~ 23% chance of making it into the playoffs.