[stupac2]

[quote author=winflop link=topic=13838.msg145183#msg145183 date=1449032848]
[quote author=Boston Card link=topic=13838.msg144945#msg144945 date=1448955649]
So why am I nervous about the game?

BC

Because the interim tag is off and they are not the same team they were in Week 3 by a much larger degree than our boys.
[/quote]

The data doesn't seem to support that assertion.

BC
[/quote]

Actually, it does support it. It just says that USC is significantly worse than they were when we played them. I can't shake the feeling that the data is wrong about something and that FPI is secretly right that USC is still a really dangerous team, but USC has underperformed in every single game under Helton where they didn't gain 2+ turnovers. I think that as long as we hold onto the ball, we'll be fine. Of course, this was true of our game against Oregon too...

[stupac2]

[quote author=winflop link=topic=13838.msg145183#msg145183 date=1449032848]
[quote author=Boston Card link=topic=13838.msg144945#msg144945 date=1448955649]
So why am I nervous about the game?

BC

Because the interim tag is off and they are not the same team they were in Week 3 by a much larger degree than our boys.
[/quote]

The data doesn't seem to support that assertion.

BC
[/quote]

Actually, it does support it. It just says that USC is significantly worse than they were when we played them. I can't shake the feeling that the data is wrong about something and that FPI is secretly right that USC is still a really dangerous team, but USC has underperformed in every single game under Helton where they didn't gain 2+ turnovers. I think that as long as we hold onto the ball, we'll be fine. Of course, this was true of our game against Oregon too...