[stupac2]

wellll, sort of. Connelly views full-season stats as more predictive. However, if you're inclined to see the last eight games as a meaningful unit, then you'd agree with the 81% prediction. In this case, there's at least some reason (the Sark Helton change) to think this way.

And Stanford's rating hardly changes, going from 15.2 to 16.3. USC's craters from 13.6 to 0.9. That latter number matches up with my finding of "USC is barely better than an average team under Helton", and the former makes sense since we're not really playing better than we were in games 3 and 4 (games 1 and 2 were clearly our worst this year, I think).

I'd still rather be playing Utah or UCLA, but I'm not quite as anxious as I was when USC first beat UCLA. That will return on Saturday, though, I'm sure.

[stupac2]

wellll, sort of. Connelly views full-season stats as more predictive. However, if you're inclined to see the last eight games as a meaningful unit, then you'd agree with the 81% prediction. In this case, there's at least some reason (the Sark Helton change) to think this way.

And Stanford's rating hardly changes, going from 15.2 to 16.3. USC's craters from 13.6 to 0.9. That latter number matches up with my finding of "USC is barely better than an average team under Helton", and the former makes sense since we're not really playing better than we were in games 3 and 4 (games 1 and 2 were clearly our worst this year, I think).

I'd still rather be playing Utah or UCLA, but I'm not quite as anxious as I was when USC first beat UCLA. That will return on Saturday, though, I'm sure.