[BostonCard]

Here's fivethirtyeight's assessment of the senate:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sena...rike-back/

Right now, Republicans hold 54 seats to the Democrats’ 46 (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats). The Democrats have a favorable map in 2016: Of the 34 seats up for grabs, 24 are held by Republicans. Democrats need to net four seats to win control of the Senate if Hillary Clinton wins the presidency and five seats if Donald Trump wins. We’ll launch our official Senate projections later this year, but it’s not too early to take a more informal tour through the races. The combination of the polling, the political lean of the states being contested and the candidates running suggests a close race for control of the chamber.

The 10 most competitive races are profiled.

And here is the Cook Political Report profile of the senate:

http://cookpolitical.com/senate

Republicans have 30 senate seats not up for election, another 11 that are considered solid Republican seats.  Another 6 are "likely" Republican and 1 is a Republican lean.  That gives them a baseline of about 47 - 48 seats.  Seven seats are considered "toss-ups" and another one is a lean Democrat.  If you include the "leans" as possibility competitive, Republicans have to win 4 out of the 9 for a 51 vote majority (needed if there is a Democratic President) or 3/9 if Trump wins.

BC

[BostonCard]

Here's fivethirtyeight's assessment of the senate:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sena...rike-back/

Right now, Republicans hold 54 seats to the Democrats’ 46 (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats). The Democrats have a favorable map in 2016: Of the 34 seats up for grabs, 24 are held by Republicans. Democrats need to net four seats to win control of the Senate if Hillary Clinton wins the presidency and five seats if Donald Trump wins. We’ll launch our official Senate projections later this year, but it’s not too early to take a more informal tour through the races. The combination of the polling, the political lean of the states being contested and the candidates running suggests a close race for control of the chamber.

The 10 most competitive races are profiled.

And here is the Cook Political Report profile of the senate:

http://cookpolitical.com/senate

Republicans have 30 senate seats not up for election, another 11 that are considered solid Republican seats.  Another 6 are "likely" Republican and 1 is a Republican lean.  That gives them a baseline of about 47 - 48 seats.  Seven seats are considered "toss-ups" and another one is a lean Democrat.  If you include the "leans" as possibility competitive, Republicans have to win 4 out of the 9 for a 51 vote majority (needed if there is a Democratic President) or 3/9 if Trump wins.

BC