[M T]

Trump the women's swimming team looks great but we need all the elements.  The relays are high point events and we are NOT strong in the breast stroke.

I don't doubt we'll lose points to other top teams in the breaststroke events, but the two medley relays won't make or break us (assuming we don't false start!).  I believe there will be three free relays and those should more than balance out the medley relays.  Current best time rankings: 
200 MR: 6 (we won that meet's event by 2.6 seconds),
400 MR: 2 (we won that meet's event by 4+ seconds),
200 FR: 4 (we won by 2.3 seconds),
400 FR: 6 (we won by 6 seconds),
800 FR: 1 (we won by 10 seconds). 
The reason I point out that we won by big margins is to indicate that the swims (and starts) were likely not as fast as we could go.

When I look at Poppe's recent times vs a couple of years ago, it seems she will likely be in the 59.0 range for the 100 Br, with a reasonable chance to be in the 58s.  She had a low 59 a couple of years ago but something happened that kept her from swimming well for more than a year (a second slower at 2015 PAC-12, and another second slower at 2016 PAC-12).  In November, she went a 1:00.20 on the medley relay at Ohio State (1:00.82 in the individual prelims).

The schools with swimmers currently under a minute are Indiana (Lily King is a second ahead of every one),
under 59.0: FSU, UVa, Louisville,
under 1:00:  Texas A&M, Minn, Iowa, Missouri, NC State, So Cal, Ariz, OSU, Texas A&M,  Pitt

Overall, Cal & Georgia are ranked #2 behind Stanford.  Their fastest breaststrokers are at 1:00.55 and 1:00.67 currently.  So, unless something changes, the breaststroke events may not decide the meet.

In the 400MR, current bests are
Cal        3:28.33! (50.85!, 1:00.40, 50.25, 46.83)  B team swimmers weren't faster
Stanford 3:29.63  (Howe 51.45, Williams 1:00.69, Hu 50.22, Manuel 47.27), (Poppe was on the B team with a 1:00.20)
Texas    3:29.77  (51.08, 59.58, 51.95, 47.54) 
Virginia  3:29.92  (52.86, 58.07!, 50.87, 48.12)
Arizona  3:30.26
Georgia  3:30.34  (51.50, 1:00.07, 51.68, 46.09!)

I wondered about that relatively slow 47.27 by Simone until I realized we won the event by a very big margin, so she had no reason to push it.

[M T]

Trump the women's swimming team looks great but we need all the elements.  The relays are high point events and we are NOT strong in the breast stroke.

I don't doubt we'll lose points to other top teams in the breaststroke events, but the two medley relays won't make or break us (assuming we don't false start!).  I believe there will be three free relays and those should more than balance out the medley relays.  Current best time rankings: 
200 MR: 6 (we won that meet's event by 2.6 seconds),
400 MR: 2 (we won that meet's event by 4+ seconds),
200 FR: 4 (we won by 2.3 seconds),
400 FR: 6 (we won by 6 seconds),
800 FR: 1 (we won by 10 seconds). 
The reason I point out that we won by big margins is to indicate that the swims (and starts) were likely not as fast as we could go.

When I look at Poppe's recent times vs a couple of years ago, it seems she will likely be in the 59.0 range for the 100 Br, with a reasonable chance to be in the 58s.  She had a low 59 a couple of years ago but something happened that kept her from swimming well for more than a year (a second slower at 2015 PAC-12, and another second slower at 2016 PAC-12).  In November, she went a 1:00.20 on the medley relay at Ohio State (1:00.82 in the individual prelims).

The schools with swimmers currently under a minute are Indiana (Lily King is a second ahead of every one),
under 59.0: FSU, UVa, Louisville,
under 1:00:  Texas A&M, Minn, Iowa, Missouri, NC State, So Cal, Ariz, OSU, Texas A&M,  Pitt

Overall, Cal & Georgia are ranked #2 behind Stanford.  Their fastest breaststrokers are at 1:00.55 and 1:00.67 currently.  So, unless something changes, the breaststroke events may not decide the meet.

In the 400MR, current bests are
Cal        3:28.33! (50.85!, 1:00.40, 50.25, 46.83)  B team swimmers weren't faster
Stanford 3:29.63  (Howe 51.45, Williams 1:00.69, Hu 50.22, Manuel 47.27), (Poppe was on the B team with a 1:00.20)
Texas    3:29.77  (51.08, 59.58, 51.95, 47.54) 
Virginia  3:29.92  (52.86, 58.07!, 50.87, 48.12)
Arizona  3:30.26
Georgia  3:30.34  (51.50, 1:00.07, 51.68, 46.09!)

I wondered about that relatively slow 47.27 by Simone until I realized we won the event by a very big margin, so she had no reason to push it.