02-09-2017, 06:44 AM
I think the recruiting rankings are a bit misleading, however. Stanford's well-documented lower attrition rate is widely acknowledged by college football observers, but it is never factored in as any kind of adjuster to the Stanford recruiting rankings. So while I concur Shaw has outperformed recruiting rankings on the same measures as other programs, those recruiting rankings themselves don't measure Stanford's classes accurately.
Recruiting class rankings are measured by total points accumulated. When you have smaller classes annually, by definition you will accumulate fewer points. The best way to adjust to account for Stanford's smaller classes, is to simply measure average recruit ranking. This is sometimes done on a per class analysis basis, like it was this year, when stories were written about Stanford having the 3rd or 4th best class by avg. recruit ranking. But it's rarely done in these year-over-year numbers.
My point is that yes, Shaw has done a great job, but let's not pretend Stanford hasn't had Top 10 talent. I'm assuming that if you looked at the Top 10 avg. over the Shaw era, and looked at the avg. ranking per recruit for all such teams over that period, Stanford would be at a similar avg. ranking number as the top 7-12 programs over the same period.
Recruiting class rankings are measured by total points accumulated. When you have smaller classes annually, by definition you will accumulate fewer points. The best way to adjust to account for Stanford's smaller classes, is to simply measure average recruit ranking. This is sometimes done on a per class analysis basis, like it was this year, when stories were written about Stanford having the 3rd or 4th best class by avg. recruit ranking. But it's rarely done in these year-over-year numbers.
My point is that yes, Shaw has done a great job, but let's not pretend Stanford hasn't had Top 10 talent. I'm assuming that if you looked at the Top 10 avg. over the Shaw era, and looked at the avg. ranking per recruit for all such teams over that period, Stanford would be at a similar avg. ranking number as the top 7-12 programs over the same period.