[M T]

fivethiryeight's March Madness prediction algorithm gives us a 31% chance of beating South Carolina and then only a 4% chance of winning the final (87% chance that we would play UConn in that final).
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201...ns/womens/

Here is the progression of their odds for Stanford reaching these levels.  (so pre-tourney, their odds of us making the Final Four were 10%).

Interesting that they gave us only 25% odds of beating ND but now give us 31% odds of beating So. Carolina.  I bet Dawn Staley wouldn't say that her team is more than twice as likely to beat Stanford.

When	. . . . E8	. . . FF	. NC game	. . Win
Pre-tourney	36%	10%	5%	<1%
pre-Sweet 16	51%	16%	7%	<1%
pre-Elite 8	100%	25%	9%	<1%
pre-Final 4	100%	100%	31%	4%

[M T]

fivethiryeight's March Madness prediction algorithm gives us a 31% chance of beating South Carolina and then only a 4% chance of winning the final (87% chance that we would play UConn in that final).
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201...ns/womens/

Here is the progression of their odds for Stanford reaching these levels.  (so pre-tourney, their odds of us making the Final Four were 10%).

Interesting that they gave us only 25% odds of beating ND but now give us 31% odds of beating So. Carolina.  I bet Dawn Staley wouldn't say that her team is more than twice as likely to beat Stanford.

When	. . . . E8	. . . FF	. NC game	. . Win
Pre-tourney	36%	10%	5%	<1%
pre-Sweet 16	51%	16%	7%	<1%
pre-Elite 8	100%	25%	9%	<1%
pre-Final 4	100%	100%	31%	4%