[stupac2]

Wow, he's got us at a 37% chance to beat U$C and 57% chance to beat UW (64% vs. south bend).  Every other game is a 70%+ chance to win.  He's bullish, I guess, though I always feel bullish against U$C early in the season.  I don't know if I feel 57% good against UW, but it's possible.  The hype begins... ;)

Why not? They also lost a lot and it's at home on a weird day. I'd say for a pre-season estimate that's not absurd.

[stupac2]

Wow, he's got us at a 37% chance to beat U$C and 57% chance to beat UW (64% vs. south bend).  Every other game is a 70%+ chance to win.  He's bullish, I guess, though I always feel bullish against U$C early in the season.  I don't know if I feel 57% good against UW, but it's possible.  The hype begins... ;)

Why not? They also lost a lot and it's at home on a weird day. I'd say for a pre-season estimate that's not absurd.