[martyup]

Fourth and 1 from the 33 should have been an easy decision to go for it.  Fourth and 6 from the 38 also would have dictated going for it.

The value of a first down in your opponents territory is undervalued.

BC

This graph would have "go for it" on 4th and 10 with 38 yards to the end zone.  Also, it would have you "go for it" when it's 4th and 2 and you have 98 yards to the end zone.  I'm not sure about the source of this data, but I wouldn't think these would be accepted decisions in most coaching circles.

[martyup]

Fourth and 1 from the 33 should have been an easy decision to go for it.  Fourth and 6 from the 38 also would have dictated going for it.

The value of a first down in your opponents territory is undervalued.

BC

This graph would have "go for it" on 4th and 10 with 38 yards to the end zone.  Also, it would have you "go for it" when it's 4th and 2 and you have 98 yards to the end zone.  I'm not sure about the source of this data, but I wouldn't think these would be accepted decisions in most coaching circles.