09-25-2017, 09:00 AM
There doesn't really seem to be a strong consensus about what to do in which scenarios. See for example:
- NY Times 4th Down Bot https://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/05/upsho...d-why.html. This is done for the NFL, but argues that you should essentially always go for it on 4th and 1 while recognizing that coaches are typically much more conservative.
- Football Study Hall https://www.footballstudyhall.com/2017/9...onversions. Shows a chart that overall looks like the one posted by Boston Card earlier.
