[CTcard]

A 12-1 UW/WSU or 11-2 Stanford has a very good chance to make the playoff - depending on what happens in the Big 12

12-1 UW/WSU would have victories over the other two + P12 championship all in November/December
11-2 Stanford would have the same plus a win over the Golden Gomers

Possibly true. It all depends upon what happens everywhere else.

So far, the primary job of the cfp committee has been choosing among one-loss conference champs, with the slight caveat that it does not necessarily consider the conference champ to be the one crowned by the conference (see tOSU 2016).

So, obviously 1 loss UW or WSU would be in the mix. If there are only four conference champs with one or fewer losses, they'd make it for sure.

[Effectively, "choosing among conference champs" includes the winner of the und conference, which so far has not been in the zero or one loss category.]

One day that will extend to choosing among two-loss conference champs, if the system lasts long enough. If that happens this year, and Stanford were a two-loss champ, they'd be in the mix. The other two-loss champ would have flaws as well, but impossible to predict the outcome without details.


It will be interesting to see when if ever the committee chooses a second team from a single conference. I suspect there would have to be a two-game difference in the loss column for that to happen - or something really extreme in the schedule.

[CTcard]

A 12-1 UW/WSU or 11-2 Stanford has a very good chance to make the playoff - depending on what happens in the Big 12

12-1 UW/WSU would have victories over the other two + P12 championship all in November/December
11-2 Stanford would have the same plus a win over the Golden Gomers

Possibly true. It all depends upon what happens everywhere else.

So far, the primary job of the cfp committee has been choosing among one-loss conference champs, with the slight caveat that it does not necessarily consider the conference champ to be the one crowned by the conference (see tOSU 2016).

So, obviously 1 loss UW or WSU would be in the mix. If there are only four conference champs with one or fewer losses, they'd make it for sure.

[Effectively, "choosing among conference champs" includes the winner of the und conference, which so far has not been in the zero or one loss category.]

One day that will extend to choosing among two-loss conference champs, if the system lasts long enough. If that happens this year, and Stanford were a two-loss champ, they'd be in the mix. The other two-loss champ would have flaws as well, but impossible to predict the outcome without details.


It will be interesting to see when if ever the committee chooses a second team from a single conference. I suspect there would have to be a two-game difference in the loss column for that to happen - or something really extreme in the schedule.