12-01-2017, 09:45 AM
Here's a look at our performance by month, with ypp differential and opponents' average FEI rating (lower is better):
What this tells me is that the offense was really good in August/Sept. The defenses we played weren't the best, but we had good results against them. In October the average defense was basically the same as Aug/Sept, but we played worse. In November the average defense was much better (going from 2.46 to 1.51 is going from playing UCLA to Notre Dame) and our performance stayed about the same as in October.
Now, do you think we should be staying roughly the same in ypp differential as the offense changes? In that case there's no real difference between Oct/Nov. But if you expect better defenses to compress it a bit, then the performance was probably better. It's not clear to me which should be true so I dunno.
| Month | YPP Diff | Ave FEI |
| Aug/Sept | 1.67 | 2.41 |
| Oct | 0.38 | 2.46 |
| Nov | 0.32 | 1.51 |
What this tells me is that the offense was really good in August/Sept. The defenses we played weren't the best, but we had good results against them. In October the average defense was basically the same as Aug/Sept, but we played worse. In November the average defense was much better (going from 2.46 to 1.51 is going from playing UCLA to Notre Dame) and our performance stayed about the same as in October.
Now, do you think we should be staying roughly the same in ypp differential as the offense changes? In that case there's no real difference between Oct/Nov. But if you expect better defenses to compress it a bit, then the performance was probably better. It's not clear to me which should be true so I dunno.
