[washingtonismoney]

For completeness, here are the game 1 results in the D. Shaw Era:
2011 - San Jose State 57-3
2012 - San Jose State 20-17
2013 - San Jose State 34-13
2014 - UC Davis 45-0
2015 - @Northwestern 6-16
2016 - Kansas State 26-13
2017 - Rice 62-7 (neutral field)

It was also interesting to see Stanford's pre-season rating:
2011 - 7
2012 - 21
2013 - 5
2014 - 11
2015 - 21
2016 - 8
2017- 14
2018 - 13

FWIW ESPN makes a "game score" statistic readily available for individual performances. My understanding is that most of the rating systems use a similar system -- i.e. rate an individual team's performance in a given game and use it to adjust the team's overall ranking -- but ESPN makes theirs very conveniently available, which allows us to do some very casual comparisons: 

2018 -- 72 (out of 100)
2017 -- 72
2016 -- 89
2015 -- 37
2014 -- 69
2013 -- 72
2012 -- 75
2011 -- 77

Conclusion: basically Shaw typically rolls out a nice but not overwhelming performance every year; there seems to be little correlation with later performance as the team can either improve (2015) or be blighted by injuries and other stuff (2016; the K-State performance was really quite strong...)

[washingtonismoney]

For completeness, here are the game 1 results in the D. Shaw Era:
2011 - San Jose State 57-3
2012 - San Jose State 20-17
2013 - San Jose State 34-13
2014 - UC Davis 45-0
2015 - @Northwestern 6-16
2016 - Kansas State 26-13
2017 - Rice 62-7 (neutral field)

It was also interesting to see Stanford's pre-season rating:
2011 - 7
2012 - 21
2013 - 5
2014 - 11
2015 - 21
2016 - 8
2017- 14
2018 - 13

FWIW ESPN makes a "game score" statistic readily available for individual performances. My understanding is that most of the rating systems use a similar system -- i.e. rate an individual team's performance in a given game and use it to adjust the team's overall ranking -- but ESPN makes theirs very conveniently available, which allows us to do some very casual comparisons: 

2018 -- 72 (out of 100)
2017 -- 72
2016 -- 89
2015 -- 37
2014 -- 69
2013 -- 72
2012 -- 75
2011 -- 77

Conclusion: basically Shaw typically rolls out a nice but not overwhelming performance every year; there seems to be little correlation with later performance as the team can either improve (2015) or be blighted by injuries and other stuff (2016; the K-State performance was really quite strong...)