09-18-2018, 12:10 PM
(09-17-2018, 11:22 PM)BostonCard Wrote: cfbstats does do a nice breakdown of to-go distance on third down:
1 - 3 yards to go: 3 carries for 5 yards, 1 first down rushing; 1 pass for 0 yards (4 total 3rd and shorts, of which we converted 1)
4 - 6 yards to go: 1 carry for 2 yards; 8 passes for 75 yards, 6 first downs, 1 TD (9 total 3rd and mediums, of which we converted 6)
7 - 9 yards to go: 3 carries for 6 yards; 9 passes for 81 yards, 5 first downs, 1 TD (12 total 3rd and longs, of which we converted 5)
10+ yards to go: 6 carries for 29 yards; 11 passes for 131 yards, 2 first downs, 1 TD and 1 INT (17 total 3rd and forevers, which we converted 2)
Small sample size and all that, but it's interesting that we're only 1 for 4 with less than 3 yards to go, and 6 for 9 from mid-range.
Those short-yardage conversions used to be almost taken for granted.

