09-22-2018, 10:28 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-22-2018, 10:28 PM by CardinalSagehen.)
(09-22-2018, 10:24 PM)BostonCard Wrote:(09-22-2018, 10:15 PM)CardinalSagehen Wrote: Forde had a 98.7% chance of being right with 1 minute remaining, according to ESPN. That's good enough for most journalists, I guess.
It was (at least according to ESPN) 99% when Oregon had first and goal at the 1 and a 24-7 lead late in the third quarter.
BC
That's what I find so amazing about this game. We had a 1% chance of winning in the third quarter and started to crawl out of the hole, only to find ourselves with a 1% chance of winning again 18 minutes later. There should be another metric for "game drama" based on swings in probability.