10-26-2018, 08:55 AM
(10-26-2018, 08:43 AM)BostonCard Wrote: Hi Hank,
Thank you for looking into this; I was going to link your very nice article. I think it would be helpful to know what the denominator has been. How often have we had a fourth quarter lead of two possessions or less and turtled (versus remained aggressive)?
Since we have no turtling-induced losses, presumably all of those wound up as wins. I'd be curious to know what happened to the scoring in those situations.
BC
Without looking into it, I'd guess that only the score and yardage gained is different. In other words, it might look like Shaw was being aggressive in certain situations, but that might only be because the offensive line was dominating and the running backs were piling up yardage and scoring fourth quarter touchdowns. This is only coming from memory, but I think that even when the offense has been at its best, Shaw has always called off the dogs. Of course, there was that late touchdown from Rector to Hogan in the Rose Bowl when Hogan "forgot" that he wasn't supposed to check out of the run...
Please clear the field! The game is not over!