10-31-2018, 12:15 AM
The scenario of Wazzu to the CFP as a way for us to go to the Rose Bowl is probably more far-fetched than Wazzu losing two games.
In addition to requiring Wazzu to win out and have enough teams in front lose, as noted above, it also requires two more events for our purposes:
1) We’d need to win out (which is not absolutely 100% required in the other scenario, btw.)
2) We’d need Utah to lose at least one more time in the regular season and then again in the CCG. Even then, it’s not a given that we’d be above Utah due to their head-to-head win and the relative lack of penalty for losses in the CCG.
Putting all these requirements together, I think two losses by Wazzu is considerably more likely and also a more gratifying way for us to qualify.
In addition to requiring Wazzu to win out and have enough teams in front lose, as noted above, it also requires two more events for our purposes:
1) We’d need to win out (which is not absolutely 100% required in the other scenario, btw.)
2) We’d need Utah to lose at least one more time in the regular season and then again in the CCG. Even then, it’s not a given that we’d be above Utah due to their head-to-head win and the relative lack of penalty for losses in the CCG.
Putting all these requirements together, I think two losses by Wazzu is considerably more likely and also a more gratifying way for us to qualify.