12-17-2018, 11:17 AM
(12-16-2018, 09:54 PM)BostonCard Wrote: The Colts Titans and ravens are tied at eight and six for the last wild-card spot, with the Steelers a half game ahead. The Colts And Titans play on the last week of the season while the ravens play against the dangerous chargers. The Steelers have to play against the Saints, so The Colts have a good chance at making the playoffs.
BC
538 sports has a nice tool to look at different scenarios. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201...edictions/.
You can look at the probability of any team making the playoffs/winning their division based on different scenarios. As long as you trust 538 predictive abilities on other games. Here's what I gathered from playing with W/L/T for the Colts remaining 2 games:
- TEN - they cannot lose to TEN. If they lose, they're out of the playoffs. If they win, then they have an 86% chance of making the playoffs. If they tie, they have a 58% chance. Will Reich play for a tie if he's facing a similar situation as he faced the first time they played the Texans?
- If they beat both NYG and TEN, then they have a 95% chance of getting in. They do not control their own destiny. They need BAL or PIT to lose/tie some games.
- The best chance for something positive to happen is this week as BAL travels to LAC and PIT travels to NO. It's a good thing both of those teams still have something to play for.
