01-21-2019, 12:17 PM
(01-21-2019, 10:30 AM)BobK Wrote: We are now 3 in RPI
ASU best Oregon state. That sure helps
Utah has now lost two starters.
NCAA has us 4th in RPI today. Maybe you looked before the end of our game?
I was going to say that who wins any non-Stanford PAC-12 game doesn't affect our RPI, but I realized we play ASU twice and OSU only once in the regular season, so I guess it does matter a little bit. Let's see... Our opponents will have one more win, but what about our opponents' opponents? (But, if I'm correct, the outcomes of any (non-Stanford) PAC-12 rival game, say, the Arizona vs ASU games doesn't affect our RPI. But the USC-ASU result may have effects on the opponents' opponents' record, or does it?)
If I understand it properly, WarrenNolan.com indicates that if RPI were a perfect predictor at the time of each game (implying we lose twice to Oregon, once in the conference season & once in the conf. tourney), our RPI will wind up as 5th. I'd think this means that if Oregon & Stanford split (with no other losses), we may both be in the top 4 RPI. (This is all so muddy... In their predictions, they have UConn beating Louisville at Louisville (with a higher RPI for UConn at the time), but Louisville winds up higher in the RPI. UConn doesn't lose any more games, but their RPI slides so it winds up lower than Louisville even though(if) Louisville loses that game.)
IF (and that's a big IF), Oregon & Stanford finish the regular season with the only loss for either being between them, the loser would likely face opponents in the conference tourney with a slightly better record. Sorta buffers the loss as far as RPI is concerned.
