08-14-2019, 04:45 AM
Fangraphs is projecting 85 wins for 2nd Wild Card spot. The Giants would need to go 25-17 (.595) the rest of the way to make it.
The complicating matter, and again, why the Giants have such small odds is that they play the hardest remaining schedule of all the contenders. The teams remaining have a combined .539 win percentage. Next hardest is the Brewers at .516 remaining schedule strength.
Of course, if you look at it another way, the Giants have a lot of opportunities to pass other contenders with head-to-head games. The Giants play their next 12 against Wild Card contending teams. If they can manage to go at least 6-6 and are no worse than 66-66 by Aug. 27, they will play meaningful games in September, with Johnny Cueto likely joining the rotation for a stretch run.
The complicating matter, and again, why the Giants have such small odds is that they play the hardest remaining schedule of all the contenders. The teams remaining have a combined .539 win percentage. Next hardest is the Brewers at .516 remaining schedule strength.
Of course, if you look at it another way, the Giants have a lot of opportunities to pass other contenders with head-to-head games. The Giants play their next 12 against Wild Card contending teams. If they can manage to go at least 6-6 and are no worse than 66-66 by Aug. 27, they will play meaningful games in September, with Johnny Cueto likely joining the rotation for a stretch run.