[Papa John]

I disagree, at least in part. This year is an anomaly. Shaw didn't all of a sudden forget how to coach, although it remains to be seen if he can adapt to the early signing day. I've been following Stanford football since 1980, and I can't remember a year with more games missed by so many top players.

I have no idea what the odds are of Stanford finishing the season 0-4, but ESPN's FPI has the following probabilities for a Stanford win:
Colorado 60.5%
WSU 21.9%
Cal 60.7%
ND 26.2%

So the probability is 2.1% that Stanford will go 4-0 and 8.9% for 0-4. I'll leave it to the stats whizzes to figure out the probabilities for 1-3, 2-2 and 3-1, but I'm going to take a wild guess that 2-2 is the most likely outcome.

[Papa John]

I disagree, at least in part. This year is an anomaly. Shaw didn't all of a sudden forget how to coach, although it remains to be seen if he can adapt to the early signing day. I've been following Stanford football since 1980, and I can't remember a year with more games missed by so many top players.

I have no idea what the odds are of Stanford finishing the season 0-4, but ESPN's FPI has the following probabilities for a Stanford win:
Colorado 60.5%
WSU 21.9%
Cal 60.7%
ND 26.2%

So the probability is 2.1% that Stanford will go 4-0 and 8.9% for 0-4. I'll leave it to the stats whizzes to figure out the probabilities for 1-3, 2-2 and 3-1, but I'm going to take a wild guess that 2-2 is the most likely outcome.