[Farm93]

Wilcox has turned out better than I thought but it's one good year. If he has a second good year I expect him to leave

He doesn't need another good year.   There will be plenty of big time openings this season.   And if he can get 7 or 8 wins at UCB he can definitely get 10 wins at .... Missouri, Florida State, Texas, etc.

UCB does not have the budget to keep a good coach, and he has almost nothing that binds him to UCB for the long haul.   
Perhaps more importantly the rumors of his departure will dominate the narrative until he leaves likely ruining recruiting efforts every season he stays.   Even if UCB signs him to a big contract, it will not be enough to keep the big football powers away.

And he has to know that his odds of long term success are much better at almost any other program in the FBS.

It is the stress for fans in the West that comes from not having a coach with real bonds to the school.   Most of the Pac-12 programs will struggle to keep any coach or assistant coach with a season or two of success given the money in the SEC and BigTen.

[Farm93]

Wilcox has turned out better than I thought but it's one good year. If he has a second good year I expect him to leave

He doesn't need another good year.   There will be plenty of big time openings this season.   And if he can get 7 or 8 wins at UCB he can definitely get 10 wins at .... Missouri, Florida State, Texas, etc.

UCB does not have the budget to keep a good coach, and he has almost nothing that binds him to UCB for the long haul.   
Perhaps more importantly the rumors of his departure will dominate the narrative until he leaves likely ruining recruiting efforts every season he stays.   Even if UCB signs him to a big contract, it will not be enough to keep the big football powers away.

And he has to know that his odds of long term success are much better at almost any other program in the FBS.

It is the stress for fans in the West that comes from not having a coach with real bonds to the school.   Most of the Pac-12 programs will struggle to keep any coach or assistant coach with a season or two of success given the money in the SEC and BigTen.