[Farm93]

Some day this may become a testable hypothesis, though for the reasons you mention, a 2-loss SEC champ (with no other SEC teams having fewer losses) may be rare.  I think the specific situation you brought up (Auburn getting in this year after losing to Oregon and another SEC team), though, would be hard to justify given a head-to-head loss versus another team looking to get in.

BC

I have no doubt, at all, that Oregon would not get in over a 2 loss SEC winner, especially since the committee head could not lobby or vote for Oregon this year.  It probably would be close because Oregon won head-to-head in this scenario.  I would bet almost everything I have that a two loss SEC champ, even with a loss to a different Pac-12 team, would get in before a two loss Pac-12 champ.

In many seasons the SEC East team has had 1 or 2 losses, and were big underdogs to Alabama for the SEC CG.   And in most seasons, it was a given Alabama was a lock even with a loss in the SEC CG.  Therefore SEC champ from the SEC East would then take a slot from Pac-12/Big12 because they would then have an epic and recent quality win against the most powerful dynasty/best coach/best talent Alabama team.

The Pac-12 #1, the Big-12 #1, the SEC #2 (CG loser or division runner-up) and Notre Dame are essentially battling for that 4th slot every year.   And since UW's season the Pac-12 has not secured that #4 spot.   :(

[Farm93]

Some day this may become a testable hypothesis, though for the reasons you mention, a 2-loss SEC champ (with no other SEC teams having fewer losses) may be rare.  I think the specific situation you brought up (Auburn getting in this year after losing to Oregon and another SEC team), though, would be hard to justify given a head-to-head loss versus another team looking to get in.

BC

I have no doubt, at all, that Oregon would not get in over a 2 loss SEC winner, especially since the committee head could not lobby or vote for Oregon this year.  It probably would be close because Oregon won head-to-head in this scenario.  I would bet almost everything I have that a two loss SEC champ, even with a loss to a different Pac-12 team, would get in before a two loss Pac-12 champ.

In many seasons the SEC East team has had 1 or 2 losses, and were big underdogs to Alabama for the SEC CG.   And in most seasons, it was a given Alabama was a lock even with a loss in the SEC CG.  Therefore SEC champ from the SEC East would then take a slot from Pac-12/Big12 because they would then have an epic and recent quality win against the most powerful dynasty/best coach/best talent Alabama team.

The Pac-12 #1, the Big-12 #1, the SEC #2 (CG loser or division runner-up) and Notre Dame are essentially battling for that 4th slot every year.   And since UW's season the Pac-12 has not secured that #4 spot.   :(