02-22-2020, 07:54 AM
(02-22-2020, 12:30 AM)treetop11 Wrote: Terrific simulator posted above, and from what I see, we have no chance for a #1 seed, win 1-2 games of the remaining three and highly likely to be #2 seed, or if we tank, we could slip to #4 seed. Wins over Oregon and/or Arizona are the most important. Would be nice to win out and tie Oregon for regular season first place, but still would be #2 seed since Ucla came back and beat WSU tonight. However, doesn't much matter if we are 1 or 2 a we would not be in Oregon's bracket; only difference might be depending on remaining games, which teams would end up in our bracket and the types of match ups we would face.
Just to make it clear.... "#1 seed" here means "#1 seed in the PAC-12 tournament". Frankly, getting the #4 or worse seed is the bad thing. #2 and #3 don't play Oregon until the championship. In all probability the only game that really matters to Stanford is the Arizona game. Beat Arizona and lose the other 2, we're #3 (ie, not #4). Lose to Arizona requires us to win both against Oregon & ASU (or requires Arizona to lose to one of Colorado or Cal) to not be #4
Obviously if we're #2 or #3, we'd have to beat UCLA to get to the P12 championship, and to get another win for Tara's record. And, another good win for NCAA tournament placement.
Heck, let's just simplify it... If Stanford can win the rest of their games this year, I'm all smiles. Lose one, and I'm probably happy. Lose two, and maybe I'm ok (to possibly ecstatic) with it. Anyway the Stanford season goes into April, I'm probably quite happy. Win their last game of the year and I'm ecstatic.
