02-24-2020, 08:59 AM
(02-24-2020, 08:05 AM)OutsiderFan Wrote: Stanford is absolutely a bubble team. Somehow KenPom has them #34, but Sagarin has them at #59, one spot above UCLA.
To me, it's really simple. Must sweep Utah and Colorado at home and split in Oregon. That would give them a 6-1 record in last 7 games, something closer to how the team started the season.
Then they probably also must win one Pac-12 Tournament game. That would give them a 5-2 record in their last 7 games, a 9-9 conference record and 21-12 overall, good enough for NCAA resume. I personally don't think they will do this and will not make the NCAA field.
OF, I think your numbers are a bit off. Right now, with the WSU win, Stanford is 18-9(7-7). If they lose only to Oregon, they would be 21-10(10-8). Go 1-1 in the Tournament, they finish 22-11(11-9) winning 7 of the last 9. That is a little better. Maybe enough? Beating Colorado could be tough, but it is doable. A win over a #18 ranked opponent (even if they aren't #18 by the time we play them) should get us in. If we lose that game, it gets harder.