02-24-2020, 05:34 PM
(02-24-2020, 04:23 PM)teejers1 Wrote: These numbers are useful, but not terribly enlightening. So many factors go into plus/minus (most notably, who else is on the floor). If multiple subs are in for starters, then that crew, by definition, likely will do less well. OTOH, if you could control for just one sub and rotate with each sub a 4-person group of starters, then you might get more useful data.
I don't like to second-guess subbing by coaches because so many factors go into it (foul trouble, match-ups, fatigue of particular player on particular day, how well they practiced, etc.). But I do have one criticism of Haase: he should eschew having both Da Silva and Terry on the bench at the same time. When both are on the bench, Stanford is lacking scorers, and the Cardinal seems to hit a lull.
I think you missed this point above: "With the starting 5 on the court (Jones, Terry, Da Silva, Davis, Wills) we are +23.8 points per 100 possessions, which is outstanding. All other lineups, including up to 4 starters, are +9.6 per 100 possessions. So, subbing out a single starter makes us far worse." There may be some 4-person combos that are better than other, but on average the team takes a big step down with any bench guy in. We need more depth--hopefully that's coming next year.
I'm not second guessing Haase's decisions at all. In fact, I think he's done as well as anyone could expect with this roster. We just don't have great options off the bench right now.
