[BostonCard]

New paper in Nature Medicine estimates mortality at about 1.4% of symptomatic patients; the estimate is that 50% of patients will be symptomatic so the overall CFR of all infected people is 0.7%, which is awful but not quite as bad as the estimate based on confirmed cases (3.4%).

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0822-7

They did some clever stuff looking at the proportion of expats who tested positive after evacuating to get a sense of the disease prevalence.

BC

[BostonCard]

New paper in Nature Medicine estimates mortality at about 1.4% of symptomatic patients; the estimate is that 50% of patients will be symptomatic so the overall CFR of all infected people is 0.7%, which is awful but not quite as bad as the estimate based on confirmed cases (3.4%).

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-0822-7

They did some clever stuff looking at the proportion of expats who tested positive after evacuating to get a sense of the disease prevalence.

BC