[Farm93]

Identified cases will rise a lot over the next 20 days because of the rise in testing and because even suspected cases would be a lagging indicator by ~7-15 days.  Deaths lag by 15-20 days at least.   There are a number of rather easy to understand Youtube videos on these concepts, including a Khan Academy one I shared with my family.

We don't have access to a good proxy for actual cases.  Identified cases will increase as tests become available.  Deaths, in the stay at home states, will probably not flatten until early April even if they are effective.  

Hopefully our shared sacrifice will make a difference. 

Ultimately those with healthy immune systems and those in good health will do better fighting the virus.   Getting the body in fighting shape is critical.  If tracking the trend lines motivates you to improve your health for the impending battle then watch the trends.   If the trends create great stress and anxiety then indulge in other activities to strengthen your body and mind.

[Farm93]

Identified cases will rise a lot over the next 20 days because of the rise in testing and because even suspected cases would be a lagging indicator by ~7-15 days.  Deaths lag by 15-20 days at least.   There are a number of rather easy to understand Youtube videos on these concepts, including a Khan Academy one I shared with my family.

We don't have access to a good proxy for actual cases.  Identified cases will increase as tests become available.  Deaths, in the stay at home states, will probably not flatten until early April even if they are effective.  

Hopefully our shared sacrifice will make a difference. 

Ultimately those with healthy immune systems and those in good health will do better fighting the virus.   Getting the body in fighting shape is critical.  If tracking the trend lines motivates you to improve your health for the impending battle then watch the trends.   If the trends create great stress and anxiety then indulge in other activities to strengthen your body and mind.