[stupac2]

Italy numbers are in for March 26:

March 21: +6,557 - 793 Dead
March 22: +5,560 - 651 Dead
March 23: +4,790 -  602 Dead
March 24: +5,249 - 743 Dead
March 25: +5,210 - 683 Dead

March 26: +6,203 - 712 Dead


I don't like the ~ 20% case growth from 3/25 to 3/26. This data is starting to maybe show how Minnesota's Governor might be right. I don't know how strict Italy's enforcement of lockdown is, but this is not looking as promising as 5 days ago.

When looking at daily data, it’s probably not reasonable to expect to see a sharp spike at the top, followed by a steep decline.

Hubei's data was pretty noisy:



Although it does seem like the downward trend was clear once it started.

[stupac2]

Italy numbers are in for March 26:

March 21: +6,557 - 793 Dead
March 22: +5,560 - 651 Dead
March 23: +4,790 -  602 Dead
March 24: +5,249 - 743 Dead
March 25: +5,210 - 683 Dead

March 26: +6,203 - 712 Dead


I don't like the ~ 20% case growth from 3/25 to 3/26. This data is starting to maybe show how Minnesota's Governor might be right. I don't know how strict Italy's enforcement of lockdown is, but this is not looking as promising as 5 days ago.

When looking at daily data, it’s probably not reasonable to expect to see a sharp spike at the top, followed by a steep decline.

Hubei's data was pretty noisy:



Although it does seem like the downward trend was clear once it started.