[BostonCard]

This is amazing.  What is the most likely number for Rt with the social distancing approach being taken by most states?

I don't know; it almost certainly depends on how well people are following the social distancing. Intuitively, I would like to think it is less than 1, hopefully significantly so, but I really don't know.

In a few weeks, once we've had a chance to see how the experiment works, it will be possible to re-fit the model and recalculate the R(eff) with the social distancing measures in place.

BC

[BostonCard]

This is amazing.  What is the most likely number for Rt with the social distancing approach being taken by most states?

I don't know; it almost certainly depends on how well people are following the social distancing. Intuitively, I would like to think it is less than 1, hopefully significantly so, but I really don't know.

In a few weeks, once we've had a chance to see how the experiment works, it will be possible to re-fit the model and recalculate the R(eff) with the social distancing measures in place.

BC