I am reminded of the Chinese proverb: "A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step"
Today's new cases in Santa Clara County are 83, one less than the 84 yesterday!
Today's total is 542 confirmed. 154 hospitalized (suggesting 70% of the cases have been detected, the highest so far).
I'm cautiously optimistic! I believe this is a day earlier than I expected. It could be noise, but it could be the start of a signal. We'll see over the next few days.
Today's new cases in Santa Clara County are 83, one less than the 84 yesterday!
Today's total is 542 confirmed. 154 hospitalized (suggesting 70% of the cases have been detected, the highest so far).
I'm cautiously optimistic! I believe this is a day earlier than I expected. It could be noise, but it could be the start of a signal. We'll see over the next few days.
(03-25-2020, 07:46 PM)M T Wrote: The SCC website says the total is 459. The wikimedia page tracking this (for the graph) indicates that's 84 new today, vs 73 new yesterday and 67 two days before that. (The 67 was pretty clearly caused by a delay in reporting test results as the day before it was unusually low.)
Unfortunately, when viewed on a log scale (dropping the data into a spreadsheet), that graph doesn't show any downturn yet. The number of cases (or hospitalizations) is doubling a little less than 5 days.
Date Positives Hospitalized March 9 43 ? March 14 91 38 March 19 196 65 March 24 459 137
The bad news is that SCC is finding just 12% 67% of the expected number of symptomatic cases, based on hospitalizations.