[Farm93]

Unless China is hiding cases, this is good news.  This means that this virus can be defeated with many fewer deaths than predicted by many "experts."  I find the China numbers suspect, however.

Many of our recently diagnosed are going to die. Don't get optimistic.
Our numbers are far from 100% accurate. Don't expect real accuracy from any country.

True.  It appears that about 1.3% of the recently diagnosed will die.  That is tragic.  I'm only optimistic that the overall number of deaths will be less than most of the dire predictions.

Sadly, NYC will start getting fatalities at a higher rate now that the system is beyond capacity. 

China is not the appropriate reference point, as their government can easily maintain two sets of data.   One for internal use and one for global propaganda.  My personal reference points remain Korea and Japan.    They both have populations in very large and very densely populated cities, and both have managed COVID-19 without significant stress to their systems.   To some degree the same is true for almost every other country that neighbors China.  SARS taught their governments AND their citizens to treat pandemics with great caution from day #1. 

Europe and the USA just didn't experience the SARS lessons, so they have done too little too late for different reasons.   

POTUS-45 failed to use the long established USA playbook, but it doesn't seem like American citizens would have followed the playbook anyway.  I am really worried about the impact of those Florida Springbreakers.   They may, in time, prove to be our Atalanta game.

https://time.com/5809848/game-zero-soccer-game-italy/

[Farm93]

Unless China is hiding cases, this is good news.  This means that this virus can be defeated with many fewer deaths than predicted by many "experts."  I find the China numbers suspect, however.

Many of our recently diagnosed are going to die. Don't get optimistic.
Our numbers are far from 100% accurate. Don't expect real accuracy from any country.

True.  It appears that about 1.3% of the recently diagnosed will die.  That is tragic.  I'm only optimistic that the overall number of deaths will be less than most of the dire predictions.

Sadly, NYC will start getting fatalities at a higher rate now that the system is beyond capacity. 

China is not the appropriate reference point, as their government can easily maintain two sets of data.   One for internal use and one for global propaganda.  My personal reference points remain Korea and Japan.    They both have populations in very large and very densely populated cities, and both have managed COVID-19 without significant stress to their systems.   To some degree the same is true for almost every other country that neighbors China.  SARS taught their governments AND their citizens to treat pandemics with great caution from day #1. 

Europe and the USA just didn't experience the SARS lessons, so they have done too little too late for different reasons.   

POTUS-45 failed to use the long established USA playbook, but it doesn't seem like American citizens would have followed the playbook anyway.  I am really worried about the impact of those Florida Springbreakers.   They may, in time, prove to be our Atalanta game.

https://time.com/5809848/game-zero-soccer-game-italy/