[M T]

One of the Santa Clara County public health officials estimated 2,000 deaths by the end of May.

They declined to say how that estimate was made, saying a better estimate is being prepared. 

Someone else suggested it assumes 10% of the county's 2M infected and 1% of those dying.    The 1% could be justified.  I don't think there is any basis for say 10% vs 60% vs 5%.

Indeed, considering the SiP order, and that we know how many are hospitalized at the time that order begins to show up in the numbers, we can begin to estimate a tail on the number of infections from the experience elsewhere.

[M T]

One of the Santa Clara County public health officials estimated 2,000 deaths by the end of May.

They declined to say how that estimate was made, saying a better estimate is being prepared. 

Someone else suggested it assumes 10% of the county's 2M infected and 1% of those dying.    The 1% could be justified.  I don't think there is any basis for say 10% vs 60% vs 5%.

Indeed, considering the SiP order, and that we know how many are hospitalized at the time that order begins to show up in the numbers, we can begin to estimate a tail on the number of infections from the experience elsewhere.