I feel like I'm having deja vu. From the last time this was discussed in this thread:
If there were 21.7 suicides per 100k people at the peak of the great depression, up from 2017's rate of 14.0/100k, then we're talking about a difference in rate of 7.7/100k. Multiply that by ~330m Americans today, and you're talking about a total increase of roughly 25,000 per year.
YMMV in terms of how significant that number is vis-a-vis various estimates of COVID-19 deaths and associated non-COVID-19 deaths that result from a strained and underperforming medical system.
A bit more for context: at the peak great depression rate of suicide, a population of 330 million would have roughly 71,000 suicides per year.
In terms of theoretically preventable causes of death, our country has had roughly 45,000 opioid overdoses per year for each of the past several years, as a point of reference.
For gun violence deaths, the U.S. had 40,000 last year.
And automobile deaths are also around 40,000 per year.
So at a rise to peak great depression levels of suicide would be an increase of 25,000 deaths per year, the rough equivalent of a 60% increase in gun violence or automobile deaths or a 50% increase in opioid overdoses.
(03-27-2020, 03:38 PM)2006alum Wrote:
If there were 21.7 suicides per 100k people at the peak of the great depression, up from 2017's rate of 14.0/100k, then we're talking about a difference in rate of 7.7/100k. Multiply that by ~330m Americans today, and you're talking about a total increase of roughly 25,000 per year.
YMMV in terms of how significant that number is vis-a-vis various estimates of COVID-19 deaths and associated non-COVID-19 deaths that result from a strained and underperforming medical system.
A bit more for context: at the peak great depression rate of suicide, a population of 330 million would have roughly 71,000 suicides per year.
In terms of theoretically preventable causes of death, our country has had roughly 45,000 opioid overdoses per year for each of the past several years, as a point of reference.
For gun violence deaths, the U.S. had 40,000 last year.
And automobile deaths are also around 40,000 per year.
So at a rise to peak great depression levels of suicide would be an increase of 25,000 deaths per year, the rough equivalent of a 60% increase in gun violence or automobile deaths or a 50% increase in opioid overdoses.
