04-05-2020, 01:11 PM
(04-05-2020, 11:44 AM)g1313 Wrote: It's interesting to note that this study (which I got my finger pricked for yesterday) is sponsored by the two Stanford Medicine professors who wrote an op-ed for the WSJ two weeks ago Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say?
If the study comes back revealing that there is a very large population that have been infected asymptomatically, and therefore the fatality rate is an order of magnitude smaller than 1%, would that be a reason to lift some current restrictions?
As of yesterday, there were 300K known cases in the US, and the case count more than doubled in 6 days. The 1.8%(S. Korea) to 4.1% (China) to 12.3%(Italy) fatality numbers that are mentioned applies to that 300K (and the roughly 600K by Friday, 1.2M by tax day)
If you want to say that we only discover half the case because the other half are asymptomatic, then divide 4.1% by 2 and multiply 300K by 2 and then multiply the numbers and see what you get. Try 10 instead of 2....
You do the math, and let us know your recommendation.
